Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ivory Coast vs Burkina Faso

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Stade de Marrakech, Marrakech
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Nagalo A.
20' Event
Diallo A.
32' Event
Diomande Y.
Assist: Diallo A.

AI Match Summary

Ivory Coast in this Africa Cup of Nations 2025 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Ivory Coast
28%
Draws
22%
Burkina Faso
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Ivory Coast

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ivory Coast lately — more wins on the board than Burkina Faso.
  • Ivory Coast are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Ivory Coast have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ivory Coast, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 74.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Ivory Coast Clean Sheet 68%
Burkina Faso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ivory Coast Burkina Faso
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 19 16
Draws 2 4
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.88 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 6, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations
Ivory Coast vs Burkina Faso
3:0
Dec 28, 2024 African Nations Championship
Burkina Faso vs Ivory Coast
3:0
Dec 22, 2024 African Nations Championship
Ivory Coast vs Burkina Faso
2:0
Nov 19, 2022 Friendly International
Burkina Faso vs Ivory Coast
2:1
Sep 4, 2022 African Nations Championship
Burkina Faso vs Ivory Coast
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ivory Coast Compare

Top Goalscorer Diallo A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diomande Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Burkina Faso Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ivory Coast 59 / 100
Burkina Faso 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ivory Coast Burkina Faso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IVO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ivory Coast's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Burkina Faso has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Ivory Coast remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ivory Coast VS Burkina Faso
1.88 Goals Scored 1.43
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.43
63% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Ivory Coast

(Home)
30 Jun
Ivory Coast
1 : 2
Norway
25 Jun
Curacao
0 : 2
Ivory Coast
20 Jun
Germany
2 : 1
Ivory Coast
14 Jun
Ivory Coast
1 : 0
Ecuador
08 Jun
Philadelphia Union II
0 : 2
Ivory Coast
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Burkina Faso

(Away)
09 Jun
Belarus
2 : 2
Burkina Faso
05 Jun
Russia
3 : 0
Burkina Faso
31 Mar
Burkina Faso
1 : 1
Guinea Bissau
28 Mar
Burkina Faso
5 : 0
Guinea Bissau
06 Jan
Ivory Coast
3 : 0
Burkina Faso
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Mali2
Tunisia1
Senegal3
Sudan1
Egypt3
Benin1
Ivory Coast3
Burkina Faso0
Algeria1
D.R. Congo0
Nigeria4
Mozambique0
South Africa1
Cameroon2
Morocco1
Tanzania0
Quarter-finals
Mali0
Senegal1
Egypt3
Ivory Coast2
Algeria0
Nigeria2
Cameroon0
Morocco2
Semi-finals
Senegal1
Egypt0
Nigeria0
Morocco1
Final
Senegal0
Morocco3
Egypt0
Nigeria1