Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ivory Coast vs Cameroon

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Stade de Marrakech
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ivory Coast play Cameroon in the Africa Cup of Nations 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ivory Coast averaged 1.7 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. Cameroon averaged 1.33 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. In past meetings, Ivory Coast won 2, Cameroon won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Dec 28, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.37 for Ivory Coast and 0.94 for Cameroon. This points to a Ivory Coast double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Ivory Coast
24%
Draws
34%
Cameroon
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Ivory Coast

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Ivory Coast picked up more points recently compared to Cameroon.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.37 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%
Ivory Coast Clean Sheet 24%
Cameroon Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 56%
Second Half Goal 59%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ivory Coast Cameroon
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 15
Draws 2 8
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.7 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 28, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations
Ivory Coast vs Cameroon
1:1
Jan 7, 2023 Friendly International
Ivory Coast vs Cameroon
1:1
Nov 16, 2021 World Championship
Cameroon vs Ivory Coast
1:0
Sep 6, 2021 World Championship
Ivory Coast vs Cameroon
2:1
Jan 30, 2016 African Nations Championship
Cameroon vs Ivory Coast
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ivory Coast Compare

Top Goalscorer Diallo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Cameroon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ivory Coast 43 / 100
Cameroon 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ivory Coast Cameroon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ivory Coast or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.9%
3.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ivory Coast attacking → ← attacking Cameroon

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ivory Coast scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Cameroon let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Ivory Coast went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Cameroon lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

62 Points in last 5 53
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.14
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.86

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Morocco32106:17
2Mali30302:23
3Comoros30210:22
4Zambia30211:42
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Egypt32103:17
2South Africa32015:46
3Angola30212:32
4Zimbabwe30124:61
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nigeria33008:49
2Tunisia31116:54
3Tanzania30213:42
4Uganda30123:71
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Senegal32107:17
2D.R. Congo32105:17
3Benin31021:43
4Botswana30030:70
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Algeria33007:19
2Burkina Faso32014:26
3Sudan31021:53
4Equatorial Guinea30032:60
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ivory Coast32105:37
2Cameroon32104:27
3Mozambique31024:53
4Gabon30034:70