Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ivory Coast vs Cameroon

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Stade de Marrakech, Marrakech
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Baleba C.
38'
Diallo A.
48'
Kessie F.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Ivory Coast
15%
Draws
42%
Cameroon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ivory Coast

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Ivory Coast carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Ivory Coast taking it.
  • Ivory Coast have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ivory Coast, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Ivory Coast Clean Sheet 68%
Cameroon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ivory Coast Cameroon
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 19 15
Draws 2 7
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.79 1.34
Goals Conceded 0.64 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.43 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 28, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations
Ivory Coast vs Cameroon
1:1
Jan 7, 2023 Friendly International
Ivory Coast vs Cameroon
1:1
Nov 16, 2021 World Championship
Cameroon vs Ivory Coast
1:0
Sep 6, 2021 World Championship
Ivory Coast vs Cameroon
2:1
Jan 30, 2016 African Nations Championship
Cameroon vs Ivory Coast
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ivory Coast Compare

Top Goalscorer Diallo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.71

Cameroon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ivory Coast 50 / 100
Cameroon 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ivory Coast Cameroon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ivory Coast Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ivory Coast's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Ivory Coast went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Cameroon conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ivory Coast VS Cameroon
2 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.86
75% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 29%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ivory Coast

(Home)
30 Jun
Ivory Coast
1 : 2
Norway
25 Jun
Curacao
0 : 2
Ivory Coast
20 Jun
Germany
2 : 1
Ivory Coast
14 Jun
Ivory Coast
1 : 0
Ecuador
08 Jun
Philadelphia Union II
0 : 2
Ivory Coast
Page 1 of 6

Cameroon

(Away)
31 Mar
China
0 : 2
Cameroon
27 Mar
Australia
1 : 0
Cameroon
09 Jan
Cameroon
0 : 2
Morocco
04 Jan
South Africa
1 : 2
Cameroon
31 Dec
Mozambique
1 : 2
Cameroon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
2 Mali 3 0 3 0 2:2 3
3 Comoros 3 0 2 1 0:2 2
4 Zambia 3 0 2 1 1:4 2
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
2 South Africa 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
3 Angola 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
4 Zimbabwe 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigeria 3 3 0 0 8:4 9
2 Tunisia 3 1 1 1 6:5 4
3 Tanzania 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
4 Uganda 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
2 D.R. Congo 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
3 Benin 3 1 0 2 1:4 3
4 Botswana 3 0 0 3 0:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Burkina Faso 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
3 Sudan 3 1 0 2 1:5 3
4 Equatorial Guinea 3 0 0 3 2:6 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
2 Cameroon 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
3 Mozambique 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Gabon 3 0 0 3 4:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams