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Ivory Coast vs Guinea Bissau

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2023 Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara, Abidjan
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Fofana S.
Assist: Kessie F.
29'
Ndicka E.
44'
Cassama M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Ivory Coast advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Ivory Coast
15%
Draws
37%
Guinea Bissau
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ivory Coast

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Ivory Coast carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ivory Coast are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Ivory Coast have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ivory Coast, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Ivory Coast Clean Sheet 68%
Guinea Bissau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ivory Coast Guinea Bissau
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 21 6
Draws 2 6
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 1.79 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.59 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 13, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
Ivory Coast vs Guinea Bissau
2:0
Feb 6, 2007 Friendly International
Ivory Coast vs Guinea Bissau
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ivory Coast Compare

Top Goalscorer Fofana S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Krasso J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Guinea Bissau Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ivory Coast 77 / 100
Guinea Bissau 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ivory Coast Guinea Bissau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ivory Coast Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ivory Coast scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Guinea Bissau let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Ivory Coast went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ivory Coast VS Guinea Bissau
2 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ivory Coast

(Home)
29 Sept
Somalia
0 : 2
Ivory Coast
24 Sept
Ivory Coast
2 : 0
Ghana
30 Jun
Ivory Coast
1 : 2
Norway
25 Jun
Curacao
0 : 2
Ivory Coast
20 Jun
Germany
2 : 1
Ivory Coast
Page 1 of 6

Guinea Bissau

(Away)
29 Sept
Guinea Bissau
3 : 0
Nigeria
25 Sept
Tanzania
0 : 2
Guinea Bissau
31 Mar
Burkina Faso
1 : 1
Guinea Bissau
28 Mar
Burkina Faso
5 : 0
Guinea Bissau
12 Oct
Egypt
1 : 0
Guinea Bissau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Equatorial Guinea 3 2 1 0 9:3 7
2 Nigeria 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
3 Ivory Coast 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
4 Guinea Bissau 3 0 0 3 2:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cape Verde 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
2 Egypt 3 0 3 0 6:6 3
3 Ghana 3 0 2 1 5:6 2
4 Mozambique 3 0 2 1 4:7 2
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
2 Cameroon 3 1 1 1 5:6 4
3 Guinea 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
4 Gambia 3 0 0 3 2:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Angola 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
2 Burkina Faso 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
3 Mauritania 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Algeria 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mali 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
2 South Africa 3 1 1 1 4:2 4
3 Namibia 3 1 1 1 1:4 4
4 Tunisia 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2 D.R. Congo 3 0 3 0 2:2 3
3 Zambia 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
4 Tanzania 3 0 2 1 1:4 2
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2023 (Play Offs)