Sport Picks

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Stade de Marrakech, Marrakech

Ivory Coast

1 - 0

Mozambique

Our Tip

Match Events

35'

Witiness J.

49'

Diallo A.

Assist: Kessie F.

55'

Mandava R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Ivory Coast advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%

Ivory Coast

15%

Draws

Mozambique

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ivory Coast

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence

Ivory Coast carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans Ivory Coast's way, sitting at 90%.
Ivory Coast have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Ivory Coast, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%

Ivory Coast Clean Sheet 68%

Mozambique Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ivory Coast	Mozambique
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	22	9
Draws	2	6
Losses	6	15
Goals Scored	1.87	1.03
Goals Conceded	0.57	1.73
Expected Goals (xG)	1.94	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 24, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations

Ivory Coast vs Mozambique

1:0

Nov 13, 2021 World Championship

Ivory Coast vs Mozambique

3:0

Sep 3, 2021 World Championship

Mozambique vs Ivory Coast

0:0

Sep 7, 2008 World Championship

Mozambique vs Ivory Coast

1:1

Jun 1, 2008 World Championship

Ivory Coast vs Mozambique

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ivory Coast Compare

Top Goalscorer Diallo A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.49

Avg xA / game 0.97

Mozambique Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45

Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ivory Coast 95 / 100

Mozambique 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ivory Coast Mozambique

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ivory Coast Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 2:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ivory Coast scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Mozambique's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Ivory Coast remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Mozambique registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ivory Coast VS Mozambique

1.88 Goals Scored 0.5

0.5 Goals Conceded 2

63% Over 1.5 67%

50% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Ivory Coast

(Home)

24 Sept

Ivory Coast

2 : 0

Ghana

30 Jun

Ivory Coast

1 : 2

Norway

25 Jun

Curacao

0 : 2

Ivory Coast

20 Jun

Germany

2 : 1

Ivory Coast

14 Jun

Ivory Coast

1 : 0

Ecuador

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Mozambique

(Away)

25 Sept

Mozambique

1 : 1

Senegal

09 Jun

Indonesia

1 : 0

Mozambique

07 Jun

Oman

4 : 1

Mozambique

05 Jan

Nigeria

4 : 0

Mozambique

31 Dec

Mozambique

1 : 2

Cameroon

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