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Ivory Coast W vs Sierra Leone W

World World

Olympic Games Women 2024
Wed, Jul 12, 2023
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Olympic Games Women 2024. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Ivory Coast W have averaged 1.91 scored and 0.66 conceded recently, against Sierra Leone W's 0.72 scored and 1.44 conceded. Past meetings favor Ivory Coast W slightly — 0-0-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 18, 2023, ending 0:0. The numbers (2.48 xG vs 0.88) point toward Ivory Coast W. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Ivory Coast W
20%
Draws
47%
Sierra Leone W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sierra Leone W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ivory Coast W come out ahead of Sierra Leone W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ivory Coast W a 33% chance of winning this.
  • Ivory Coast W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Ivory Coast W Clean Sheet 20%
Sierra Leone W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ivory Coast W Sierra Leone W
Matches Played 35 18
Wins 21 3
Draws 5 3
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.91 0.72
Goals Conceded 0.66 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 2.48 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2023 Olympic Games Women
Sierra Leone W vs Ivory Coast W
0:0
Jul 12, 2023 Olympic Games Women
Ivory Coast W vs Sierra Leone W
0:0
Apr 5, 2019 Olympic Games Women
Sierra Leone W vs Ivory Coast W
0:0
Apr 3, 2019 Olympic Games Women
Ivory Coast W vs Sierra Leone W
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ivory Coast W 58 / 100
Sierra Leone W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ivory Coast W Sierra Leone W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ivory Coast W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sierra Leone W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 14 matches.

Ivory Coast W's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Ivory Coast W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Ivory Coast W VS Sierra Leone W
3.75 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ivory Coast W

(Home)
13 Aug
Ivory Coast W
1 : 2
Ghana W
08 Aug
Ivory Coast W
1 : 2
Algeria W
04 Aug
Tanzania W
1 : 2
Ivory Coast W
31 Jul
South Africa W
2 : 2
Ivory Coast W
27 Jul
Ivory Coast W
4 : 1
Burkina Faso W
Page 1 of 7

Sierra Leone W

(Away)
31 May
Sierra Leone W
1 : 0
Senegal W
29 May
Mali W
0 : 1
Sierra Leone W
26 May
Senegal W
1 : 1
Sierra Leone W
24 May
Sierra Leone W
3 : 1
Guinea W
22 May
Sierra Leone W
0 : 3
Gambia W
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Guinea Bissau W 4
Benin W 5
Guinea W 0
Ghana W 7
Burkina Faso W 2
Mali W 3
TBD -
Zambia W -
Ivory Coast W -
Sierra Leone W -
TBD -
Tunisia W -
Namibia W 2
Equatorial Guinea W 0
TBD -
Morocco W -
Uganda W 4
Rwanda W 3
TBD -
Cameroon W -
Ethiopia W 10
Chad W 0
TBD -
Nigeria W -
Congo W -
Tanzania W -
TBD -
Botswana W -
Mozambique W -
D.R. Congo W -
TBD -
South Africa W -
Quarter-finals
Benin W 0
Ghana W 5
Mali W -
Zambia W -
Ivory Coast W -
Tunisia W -
Namibia W 0
Morocco W 4
Uganda W 2
Cameroon W 3
Ethiopia W 1
Nigeria W 5
Tanzania W 3
Botswana W 0
D.R. Congo W 1
South Africa W 3
Semi-finals
Ghana W 3
Zambia W 4
Tunisia W 2
Morocco W 6
Cameroon W 0
Nigeria W 1
Tanzania W 0
South Africa W 4
Final
Zambia W 3
Morocco W 2
Nigeria W 1
South Africa W 0