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Izalco vs Aguila - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

El Salvador El Salvador

Copa Presidente
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Cea B.
24' Event
Pineda W.
49' Event
Duenas Cruz R. S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. This leg finished 2-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Izalco
15%
Draws
64%
Aguila
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aguila

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aguila lately — more wins on the board than Izalco.
  • Model gives Aguila a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Aguila arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Aguila, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Izalco Clean Sheet 20%
Aguila Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Izalco Aguila
Matches Played 5 31
Wins 1 15
Draws 1 8
Losses 3 8
Goals Scored 1.8 1.55
Goals Conceded 2.6 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 Copa Presidente
Aguila vs Izalco
4:1
Apr 8, 2026 Copa Presidente
Izalco vs Aguila
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Izalco Compare

Top Goalscorer Cea B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Duenas Cruz R. S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Aguila Compare

Top Goalscorer Garay C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pineda W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Izalco 24 / 100
Aguila 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Izalco Aguila

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aguila Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Izalco found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (5 games).

These sides typically produce 5.50 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Aguila conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: Izalco remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aguila
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Izalco

(Home)
22 Apr
Aguila
4 : 1
Izalco
08 Apr
Izalco
2 : 4
Aguila
12 Mar
Izalco
2 : 2
Hercules
24 Feb
Izalco
2 : 3
FAS
10 Feb
Izalco
2 : 0
Fuerte Aguilares

Aguila

(Away)
03 Oct
Aguila
4 : 1
Cacahuatique
30 Sept
Aguila
2 : 1
Inter Santa Tecla
27 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
2 : 0
Aguila
20 Sept
Platense Municipal
0 : 1
Aguila
12 Sept
Aguila
3 : 1
Inca Aruba
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Batanecos 0
Luis Angel Firpo 5
Alianza FC 4
Metapan 2
Municipal Limeno 2
El Roble de Ilobasco 1
Aguila 8
Izalco 3
FAS 9
Dragon 2
Platense Municipal 1
Fuerte San Francisco 2
Cacahuatique 3
Hercules 2
Inter Santa Tecla 6
Zacatecoluca FC 1
Quarter-finals
Luis Angel Firpo -
Alianza FC -
Municipal Limeno -
Aguila -
FAS -
Fuerte San Francisco -
Cacahuatique -
Inter Santa Tecla -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -