Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Izarra vs Pamplona

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Martinez E.
90' Event
Aranda I.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Izarra
35%
Draws
14%
Pamplona
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Izarra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Pamplona carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Izarra are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Pamplona arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Pamplona, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Izarra Clean Sheet 68%
Pamplona Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Izarra Pamplona
Matches Played 32 35
Wins 16 20
Draws 13 11
Losses 3 4
Goals Scored 2 1.77
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pamplona vs Izarra
5:1
May 30, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Izarra vs Pamplona
1:1
Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Izarra vs Pamplona
0:2
Dec 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pamplona vs Izarra
2:1
Aug 14, 2023 Club Friendly
Izarra vs Pamplona
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Izarra Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Pamplona Compare

Top Goalscorer Aranda I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Izarra 95 / 100
Pamplona 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Izarra Pamplona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Izarra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Izarra scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

Izarra went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Pamplona let in goals in 63% of their last 35 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Izarra VS Pamplona
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Izarra

(Home)
03 Oct
Cortes
0 : 2
Izarra
26 Sept
Izarra
4 : 1
Beti Kozkor
19 Sept
Bidezarra
0 : 4
Izarra
12 Sept
Izarra
4 : 1
AD San Juan
05 Sept
Cirbonero
0 : 4
Izarra
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Pamplona

(Away)
03 Oct
Pamplona
0 : 0
Huarte
26 Sept
Cortes
0 : 0
Pamplona
19 Sept
Pamplona
1 : 1
Doneztebe FT
12 Sept
Beti Kozkor
1 : 0
Pamplona
05 Sept
Pamplona
1 : 1
Aoiz
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Pamplona 2
AD San Juan 1
Izarra 4
Subiza 1
Final
Pamplona 6
Izarra 2