Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Izarra vs Pamplona

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Asiain I.
59' Event
Saralegui M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 game between Izarra and Pamplona finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pamplona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Izarra
35%
Draws
15%
Pamplona
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Izarra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Izarra haven't matched Pamplona's recent run of results.
  • Izarra are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Izarra Clean Sheet 17%
Pamplona Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Izarra Pamplona
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 13 20
Draws 14 11
Losses 3 6
Goals Scored 1.9 1.57
Goals Conceded 1 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pamplona vs Izarra
5:1
May 30, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Izarra vs Pamplona
1:1
Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Izarra vs Pamplona
0:2
Dec 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pamplona vs Izarra
2:1
Aug 14, 2023 Club Friendly
Izarra vs Pamplona
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Izarra Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Pamplona Compare

Top Goalscorer Asiain I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saralegui M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Izarra 84 / 100
Pamplona 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Izarra Pamplona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Izarra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Izarra found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Izarra has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Pamplona conceded in 70% of 37 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Izarra VS Pamplona
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Izarra

(Home)
26 Sept
Izarra
4 : 1
Beti Kozkor
19 Sept
Bidezarra
0 : 4
Izarra
12 Sept
Izarra
4 : 1
AD San Juan
05 Sept
Cirbonero
0 : 4
Izarra
23 Aug
Subiza
2 : 2
Izarra
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Pamplona

(Away)
26 Sept
Cortes
0 : 0
Pamplona
19 Sept
Pamplona
1 : 1
Doneztebe FT
12 Sept
Beti Kozkor
1 : 0
Pamplona
05 Sept
Pamplona
1 : 1
Aoiz
20 Jun
Pamplona
1 : 1
Real Murcia B
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 34 24 5 5 65:39 77
2 Pamplona 34 22 8 4 65:28 74
3 Izarra 34 16 13 5 64:31 61
4 Subiza 34 15 9 10 46:31 54
5 AD San Juan 34 12 16 6 43:28 52
6 Huarte 34 15 2 17 49:47 47
7 Beti Kozkor 34 12 10 12 50:43 46
8 Ezcabarte 34 12 9 13 47:49 45
9 Cortes 34 13 5 16 37:51 44
10 Cirbonero 34 11 10 13 38:42 43
11 Txantrea 34 12 7 15 52:67 43
12 Valle Egues 34 11 9 14 48:57 42
13 Bidezarra 34 10 9 15 34:40 39
14 Aoiz 34 9 9 16 41:49 36
15 CD Beti Onak 34 9 9 16 42:55 36
16 CD Ardoi 34 8 12 14 46:56 36
17 Oberena 34 7 10 17 32:61 31
18 CA Artajones 34 7 10 17 36:61 31
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 (Play Offs)