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Izarra vs Pamplona - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Izarra host Pamplona in the Tercera RFEF - Group 15. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Pamplona have shipped 0.83 goals a game lately, while Izarra have conceded 0.97 and scored 2. Past meetings favor Pamplona slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 6, 2026, ending 5:1. xG projections (1.63 - 1.38) back Pamplona to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Izarra
35%
Draws
14%
Pamplona
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Izarra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Pamplona carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Izarra's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Izarra Clean Sheet 17%
Pamplona Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Izarra Pamplona
Matches Played 32 35
Wins 16 20
Draws 13 11
Losses 3 4
Goals Scored 2 1.77
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pamplona vs Izarra
5:1
May 30, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Izarra vs Pamplona
1:1
Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Izarra vs Pamplona
0:2
Dec 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pamplona vs Izarra
2:1
Aug 14, 2023 Club Friendly
Izarra vs Pamplona
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Izarra 84 / 100
Pamplona 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Izarra Pamplona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Izarra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Izarra scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Izarra has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Pamplona's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 35 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Izarra VS Pamplona
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Izarra

(Home)
03 Oct
Cortes
0 : 2
Izarra
26 Sept
Izarra
4 : 1
Beti Kozkor
19 Sept
Bidezarra
0 : 4
Izarra
12 Sept
Izarra
4 : 1
AD San Juan
05 Sept
Cirbonero
0 : 4
Izarra
Page 1 of 7

Pamplona

(Away)
03 Oct
Pamplona
0 : 0
Huarte
26 Sept
Cortes
0 : 0
Pamplona
19 Sept
Pamplona
1 : 1
Doneztebe FT
12 Sept
Beti Kozkor
1 : 0
Pamplona
05 Sept
Pamplona
1 : 1
Aoiz
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izarra 5 5 0 0 18:2 15
2 Mutilvera 5 3 2 0 7:1 11
3 Gazte Berriak 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
4 Beti Kozkor 5 3 1 1 5:4 10
5 Aoiz 5 2 3 0 5:2 9
6 Ezcabarte 5 2 2 1 10:4 8
7 Subiza 5 2 1 2 11:8 7
8 AD San Juan 5 2 1 2 9:7 7
9 Doneztebe FT 5 1 2 2 10:7 5
10 CD Beti Onak 5 0 5 0 5:5 5
11 Valle Egues 5 1 2 2 8:9 5
12 Txantrea 5 1 2 2 4:9 5
13 Huarte 5 0 4 1 4:5 4
14 Pamplona 5 0 4 1 2:3 4
15 Cortes 5 1 1 3 2:8 4
16 Bidezarra 5 0 3 2 3:9 3
17 CD Cantolagua 5 1 0 4 3:15 3
18 Cirbonero 5 0 2 3 1:11 2
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 (Play Offs)