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Izberbash vs FK Pobeda

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Gamzatov M.
(Penalty)
43' Event
Bitarov T.
61' Event
Vagabov I.

AI Match Summary

FK Pobeda in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Pobeda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Izberbash
15%
Draws
59%
FK Pobeda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Pobeda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • FK Pobeda have won more games recently than Izberbash.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Izberbash Clean Sheet 10%
FK Pobeda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Izberbash FK Pobeda
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 1 4
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.11 1.54
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Izberbash vs FK Pobeda
1:2
May 23, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FK Pobeda vs Izberbash
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Izberbash Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

FK Pobeda Compare

Top Goalscorer Bitarov T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vagabov I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Izberbash 34 / 100
FK Pobeda 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Izberbash FK Pobeda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Pobeda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Izberbash's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: FK Pobeda conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Izberbash has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Izberbash VS FK Pobeda
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Izberbash

(Home)
19 Sept
Izberbash
0 : 0
Astrakhan
13 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala 2
0 : 1
Izberbash
05 Sept
Izberbash
1 : 2
FK Pobeda
29 Aug
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 2
3 : 1
Izberbash
26 Aug
Maykop
2 : 1
Izberbash
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FK Pobeda

(Away)
12 Sept
FK Pobeda
2 : 1
Astrakhan
05 Sept
Izberbash
1 : 2
FK Pobeda
29 Aug
Rostov 2
4 : 0
FK Pobeda
22 Aug
FK Pobeda
3 : 0
Zarya Lugansk
12 Aug
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
2 : 0
FK Pobeda
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