Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Izola vs Tolmin

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West 2025/2026
Izola Logo

Izola

2 - 4
FT
Tolmin Logo

Tolmin

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tolmin in this 3. SNL - West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tolmin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Izola
30%
Draws
26%
Tolmin
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Izola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Izola lately — more wins on the board than Tolmin.
  • Izola are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Izola Clean Sheet 16%
Tolmin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Izola Tolmin
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 14
Draws 5 6
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 2.72 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 3. SNL - West
Izola vs Tolmin
2:4
Oct 4, 2025 3. SNL - West
Tolmin vs Izola
0:1
Apr 27, 2023 3. SNL - West
Tolmin vs Izola
2:1
Oct 8, 2022 3. SNL - West
Izola vs Tolmin
1:1
May 21, 2022 3. SNL - West
Izola vs Tolmin
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Izola 84 / 100
Tolmin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Izola Tolmin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Izola Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Izola scored in 97% of their last 29 outings.

Izola has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Tolmin let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Izola VS Tolmin
4.25 Goals Scored 2.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Izola

(Home)
12 Sept
Izola
5 : 2
Sencur
05 Sept
Dob
0 : 3
Izola
29 Aug
Izola
11 : 0
Fama Vipava
21 Aug
Adria Miren
2 : 4
Izola
15 Aug
Izola
4 : 0
Litija
Page 1 of 6

Tolmin

(Away)
05 Sept
Tolmin
2 : 2
Skofja Loka
29 Aug
Tolmin
1 : 0
IB 1975 Ljubljana
22 Aug
Sencur
3 : 3
Tolmin
15 Aug
Tolmin
1 : 1
Dob
23 May
Ziri
0 : 3
Tolmin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vrhnika 26 17 5 4 63:21 56
2 Sencur 26 16 6 4 46:27 54
3 Dob 26 15 5 6 54:29 50
4 Tolmin 26 14 3 9 47:33 45
5 Izola 26 12 6 8 53:39 42
6 Rudar Trbovlje 26 11 8 7 56:39 41
7 IB 1975 Ljubljana 26 11 3 12 35:44 36
8 Sobec Lesce 26 10 6 10 31:32 36
9 Skofja Loka 26 7 9 10 37:42 30
10 Ziri 26 7 6 13 30:52 27
11 Fama Vipava 26 6 8 12 28:42 26
12 Ljubljana Svoboda 26 6 5 15 30:51 23
13 Zidgrad Idrija 26 6 4 16 34:57 22
14 Bistrc 26 5 4 17 35:71 19
Promotion - 2. SNL (Main)