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Iztapa vs Antigua Prediction & H2H Stats

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Sub
Paz V. In: Cano J.
Out: Paz V.
6' Event
Cano J.
10'
Robinson A.

AI Match Summary

Iztapa in this Liga Nacional 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Iztapa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Iztapa
15%
Draws
51%
Antigua
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Antigua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Antigua have won more games recently than Iztapa.
  • Win probability leans Antigua's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Iztapa Clean Sheet 18%
Antigua Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iztapa Antigua
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 7 19
Draws 7 8
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.33 1.85
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2023 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Iztapa
5:2
Feb 19, 2023 Liga Nacional
Iztapa vs Antigua
2:1
Nov 6, 2022 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Iztapa
4:1
Aug 28, 2022 Liga Nacional
Iztapa vs Antigua
4:1
Apr 24, 2022 Liga Nacional
Iztapa vs Antigua
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iztapa Compare

Top Goalscorer Cano J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guerra C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Antigua Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iztapa 15 / 100
Antigua 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iztapa Antigua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Antigua Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Iztapa's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Antigua let in goals in 69% of their last 39 matches.

Difficult form: Antigua registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Antigua
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Iztapa

(Home)
07 May
Deportivo Achuapa
5 : 3
Iztapa
03 May
Municipal
4 : 0
Iztapa
30 Apr
Iztapa
1 : 0
Santa Lucia
23 Apr
Guastatoya
1 : 1
Iztapa
19 Apr
Iztapa
1 : 5
Comunicaciones
Page 1 of 6

Antigua

(Away)
03 Oct
Marquense
2 : 1
Antigua
27 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 1
Antigua
24 Sept
Xelaju
4 : 0
Antigua
15 Sept
Antigua
3 : 2
Suchitepequez
11 Sept
Malacateco
0 : 2
Antigua
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comunicaciones 22 12 9 1 37:16 45
2 Municipal 22 13 4 5 44:21 43
3 Xelaju 22 12 7 3 31:9 43
4 Xinabajul 22 8 7 7 27:29 31
5 Guastatoya 22 7 8 7 28:22 29
6 Deportivo Mixco 22 7 8 7 23:24 29
7 Antigua 22 8 5 9 33:37 29
8 Deportivo Achuapa 22 7 5 10 24:44 26
9 Coban Imperial 22 6 7 9 16:17 25
10 Iztapa 22 5 5 12 30:49 20
11 Malacateco 22 4 7 11 24:33 19
12 Santa Lucia 22 5 4 13 14:30 19
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2022/2023 (Clausura - Play Offs)