Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Iztapa vs Malacateco

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Cordoba Mosquera J. E.
37'
Sub
Samayoa P. In: Aldana B.
Out: Samayoa P.
58' Event
Cordoba Mosquera J. E.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2022/2023 game between Iztapa and Malacateco finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Iztapa
6%
Draws
90%
Malacateco
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Malacateco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Malacateco has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Iztapa.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Malacateco.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga Nacional 2022/2023 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Iztapa Clean Sheet 22%
Malacateco Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iztapa Malacateco
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 7 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 0 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2023 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Iztapa
1:0
Feb 12, 2023 Liga Nacional
Iztapa vs Malacateco
2:2
Nov 13, 2022 Liga Nacional
Iztapa vs Malacateco
2:1
Aug 31, 2022 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Iztapa
1:1
Apr 3, 2022 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Iztapa
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iztapa Compare

Top Goalscorer Leon K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Malacateco Compare

Top Goalscorer Cordoba Mosquera J. E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andrade N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iztapa 10 / 100
Malacateco 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iztapa Malacateco

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iztapa scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Malacateco let in goals in 67% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Iztapa went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Malacateco lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Malacateco
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Comunicaciones22129137:1645
2Municipal22134544:2143
3Xelaju22127331:943
4Xinabajul2287727:2931
5Guastatoya2278728:2229
6Deportivo Mixco2278723:2429
7Antigua2285933:3729
8Deportivo Achuapa22751024:4426
9Coban Imperial2267916:1725
10Iztapa22551230:4920
11Malacateco22471124:3319
12Santa Lucia22541314:3019