Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Iztapa vs Malacateco

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Cordoba Mosquera J. E.
37'
Sub
Samayoa P. In: Aldana B.
Out: Samayoa P.
58' Event
Cordoba Mosquera J. E.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2022/2023 game between Iztapa and Malacateco finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Iztapa
20%
Draws
51%
Malacateco
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Malacateco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Malacateco come out ahead of Iztapa on wins alone.
  • Model gives Malacateco a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Iztapa Clean Sheet 27%
Malacateco Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iztapa Malacateco
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 7 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.33 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2023 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Iztapa
1:0
Feb 12, 2023 Liga Nacional
Iztapa vs Malacateco
2:2
Nov 13, 2022 Liga Nacional
Iztapa vs Malacateco
2:1
Aug 31, 2022 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Iztapa
1:1
Apr 3, 2022 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Iztapa
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iztapa Compare

Top Goalscorer Leon K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Malacateco Compare

Top Goalscorer Cordoba Mosquera J. E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andrade N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.67
Avg xA / game 0.41

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iztapa 10 / 100
Malacateco 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iztapa Malacateco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malacateco Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iztapa's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Malacateco let in goals in 70% of their last 37 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Iztapa has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Malacateco
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Iztapa

(Home)
07 May
Deportivo Achuapa
5 : 3
Iztapa
03 May
Municipal
4 : 0
Iztapa
30 Apr
Iztapa
1 : 0
Santa Lucia
23 Apr
Guastatoya
1 : 1
Iztapa
19 Apr
Iztapa
1 : 5
Comunicaciones
Page 1 of 6

Malacateco

(Away)
06 Sept
Malacateco
2 : 0
Suchitepequez
30 Aug
Aurora F.C.
1 : 0
Malacateco
24 Aug
Malacateco
2 : 0
Deportivo San Pedro
16 Aug
Comunicaciones
4 : 2
Malacateco
08 Aug
Malacateco
2 : 2
Xelaju
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comunicaciones 22 12 9 1 37:16 45
2 Municipal 22 13 4 5 44:21 43
3 Xelaju 22 12 7 3 31:9 43
4 Xinabajul 22 8 7 7 27:29 31
5 Guastatoya 22 7 8 7 28:22 29
6 Deportivo Mixco 22 7 8 7 23:24 29
7 Antigua 22 8 5 9 33:37 29
8 Deportivo Achuapa 22 7 5 10 24:44 26
9 Coban Imperial 22 6 7 9 16:17 25
10 Iztapa 22 5 5 12 30:49 20
11 Malacateco 22 4 7 11 24:33 19
12 Santa Lucia 22 5 4 13 14:30 19
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2022/2023 (Clausura - Play Offs)