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Stadium Background

Iztapa vs Municipal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Sub
Salazar J. In: Tatuaca O.
Out: Salazar J.
41' Event
Ferreira M.
44' Event
Albizures C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Nacional 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Iztapa
35%
Draws
45%
Municipal
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Municipal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Municipal lately — more wins on the board than Iztapa.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Municipal taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Iztapa Clean Sheet 12%
Municipal Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iztapa Municipal
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 20
Draws 7 8
Losses 16 2
Goals Scored 1.33 1.77
Goals Conceded 2.07 0.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2023 Liga Nacional
Municipal vs Iztapa
4:0
Feb 1, 2023 Liga Nacional
Iztapa vs Municipal
2:2
Oct 9, 2022 Liga Nacional
Iztapa vs Municipal
3:2
Aug 7, 2022 Liga Nacional
Municipal vs Iztapa
1:0
Apr 30, 2022 Liga Nacional
Municipal vs Iztapa
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iztapa Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreira M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Albizures C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Municipal Compare

Top Goalscorer Matos Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iztapa 10 / 100
Municipal 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iztapa Municipal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Municipal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Iztapa scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Municipal conceded in 47% of 30 recent games.

Iztapa has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Municipal
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Iztapa

(Home)
07 May
Deportivo Achuapa
5 : 3
Iztapa
03 May
Municipal
4 : 0
Iztapa
30 Apr
Iztapa
1 : 0
Santa Lucia
23 Apr
Guastatoya
1 : 1
Iztapa
19 Apr
Iztapa
1 : 5
Comunicaciones
Page 1 of 6

Municipal

(Away)
09 Oct
Antigua
1 : 1
Municipal
25 Sept
Municipal
3 : 0
Suchitepequez
14 Sept
Municipal
2 : 2
Malacateco
10 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 2
Municipal
06 Sept
Municipal
0 : 0
Deportivo San Pedro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comunicaciones 22 12 9 1 37:16 45
2 Municipal 22 13 4 5 44:21 43
3 Xelaju 22 12 7 3 31:9 43
4 Xinabajul 22 8 7 7 27:29 31
5 Guastatoya 22 7 8 7 28:22 29
6 Deportivo Mixco 22 7 8 7 23:24 29
7 Antigua 22 8 5 9 33:37 29
8 Deportivo Achuapa 22 7 5 10 24:44 26
9 Coban Imperial 22 6 7 9 16:17 25
10 Iztapa 22 5 5 12 30:49 20
11 Malacateco 22 4 7 11 24:33 19
12 Santa Lucia 22 5 4 13 14:30 19
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2022/2023 (Clausura - Play Offs)