Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jabaquara vs Sao-Carlense

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Araujo J.
49' Event
Eric P.
65' Event
Pedro Inacio

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 game between Jabaquara and Sao-Carlense finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jabaquara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Jabaquara
35%
Draws
28%
Sao-Carlense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Jabaquara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Sao-Carlense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Jabaquara taking it.
  • Regular Paulista A4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Jabaquara Clean Sheet 68%
Sao-Carlense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jabaquara Sao-Carlense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 6 12
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 0.87 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Paulista A4
Jabaquara vs Sao-Carlense
3:1
Feb 27, 2025 Paulista A4
Sao-Carlense vs Jabaquara
0:1
Mar 16, 2024 Paulista A4
Jabaquara vs Sao-Carlense
1:2
Jul 16, 2023 Paulista A4
Jabaquara vs Sao-Carlense
0:0
Jul 8, 2023 Paulista A4
Sao-Carlense vs Jabaquara
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jabaquara Compare

Top Goalscorer Eric P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pedro Inacio
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Sao-Carlense Compare

Top Goalscorer Araujo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jabaquara 59 / 100
Sao-Carlense 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jabaquara Sao-Carlense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jabaquara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao-Carlense has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Jabaquara remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Jabaquara found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Jabaquara VS Sao-Carlense
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jabaquara

(Home)
04 Apr
AEA Aracatuba
0 : 3
Jabaquara
28 Mar
Jabaquara
2 : 1
Comercial
25 Mar
Lemense
0 : 0
Jabaquara
21 Mar
Jabaquara
1 : 1
Taquaritinga
18 Mar
Penapolense
3 : 2
Jabaquara
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Sao-Carlense

(Away)
01 May
Inter de Bebedouro
1 : 1
Sao-Carlense
26 Apr
Sao-Carlense
1 : 3
Inter de Bebedouro
19 Apr
Sao-Carlense
1 : 0
Barretos EC
10 Apr
Barretos EC
1 : 1
Sao-Carlense
04 Apr
Lemense
1 : 1
Sao-Carlense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter de Bebedouro 15 10 3 2 21:6 33
2 Sao Caetano 15 9 2 4 23:14 29
3 Penapolense 15 8 5 2 22:10 29
4 Sao-Carlense 15 7 5 3 20:13 26
5 Barretos EC 15 7 5 3 12:10 26
6 Taquaritinga 15 7 3 5 20:13 24
7 Jacarei FC 15 6 5 4 11:9 23
8 Lemense 15 6 4 5 14:12 22
9 ECUS SP 15 5 7 3 11:6 22
10 Comercial 15 6 2 7 17:16 20
11 Tanabi 15 4 6 5 12:10 18
12 Jabaquara 15 4 4 7 14:17 16
13 Vocem 15 3 6 6 12:13 15
14 Colorado Caieiras 15 1 7 7 6:20 10
15 Nacional SP 15 2 2 11 7:22 8
16 AEA Aracatuba 15 1 2 12 6:37 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista B (Main)