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Jabaquara vs SKA Brasil - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 2022 game between Jabaquara and SKA Brasil finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jabaquara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Jabaquara
35%
Draws
34%
SKA Brasil
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SKA Brasil come out ahead of Jabaquara on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Paulista A4 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Jabaquara Clean Sheet 20%
SKA Brasil Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jabaquara SKA Brasil
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 6 8
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 0.84 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2024 Paulista A4
SKA Brasil vs Jabaquara
2:0
Jun 11, 2022 Paulista A4
Jabaquara vs SKA Brasil
1:0
May 7, 2022 Paulista A4
SKA Brasil vs Jabaquara
4:0
Nov 8, 2020 Paulista A4
SKA Brasil vs Jabaquara
1:0
Oct 20, 2020 Paulista A4
Jabaquara vs SKA Brasil
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jabaquara 31 / 100
SKA Brasil 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jabaquara SKA Brasil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jabaquara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Jabaquara stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Jabaquara's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: SKA Brasil conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Jabaquara VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jabaquara

(Home)
04 Apr
AEA Aracatuba
0 : 3
Jabaquara
28 Mar
Jabaquara
2 : 1
Comercial
25 Mar
Lemense
0 : 0
Jabaquara
21 Mar
Jabaquara
1 : 1
Taquaritinga
18 Mar
Penapolense
3 : 2
Jabaquara
Page 1 of 7

SKA Brasil

(Away)
28 Apr
Francana
0 : 0
SKA Brasil
20 Apr
SKA Brasil
0 : 0
Francana
13 Apr
Sao-Carlense
1 : 1
SKA Brasil
06 Apr
SKA Brasil
1 : 0
Sao-Carlense
30 Mar
Nacional SP
0 : 2
SKA Brasil
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Penapolense 10 6 3 1 23:6 21
2 Inter de Bebedouro 10 6 3 1 18:6 21
3 Catanduva FC 10 6 2 2 25:11 20
4 Fernandopolis 10 2 2 6 11:22 8
5 America SP 10 2 2 6 14:24 8
6 Andradina Esporte Clube 10 2 0 8 12:34 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gremio Prudente 10 7 3 0 17:4 24
2 AA Itarare 10 3 6 1 13:8 15
3 Osvaldo Cruz 10 3 5 2 12:10 14
4 Vocem 10 3 4 3 8:12 13
5 Assisense 10 2 5 3 9:10 11
6 Santacruzense 10 0 1 9 4:19 1
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Taquaritinga 10 7 0 3 17:8 21
2 Sao-Carlense 10 6 2 2 17:5 20
3 XV de Jau 10 5 3 2 16:7 18
4 Francana 10 3 4 3 8:8 13
5 Sao Carlos 10 2 4 4 6:14 10
6 Batatais 10 0 1 9 7:29 1
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itapirense 10 7 2 1 20:10 23
2 Rio Branco SP 10 6 1 3 15:10 19
3 Paulista 10 5 3 2 15:8 18
4 Amparo SP 10 3 3 4 15:12 12
5 Independente SP 10 3 2 5 8:9 11
6 Uniao Sao Joao 10 0 1 9 3:27 1
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manthiqueira 10 6 2 2 26:12 20
2 Jacarei FC 10 6 1 3 25:6 19
3 Flamengo SP 10 5 4 1 18:11 19
4 Uniao Mogi 10 4 2 4 25:12 14
5 Guarulhos 10 2 4 4 11:18 10
6 Atletico Mogi 10 0 1 9 5:51 1
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maua FC 10 5 3 2 12:9 18
2 SKA Brasil 10 5 2 3 19:8 17
3 Colorado Caieiras 10 4 5 1 16:10 17
4 Jabaquara 10 4 3 3 10:10 15
5 Mauaense 10 2 4 4 11:16 10
6 ECUS SP 10 1 1 8 12:27 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams