Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jablonec vs Liberec

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Chance Liga 2025/2026 Stadion Strelnice, Jablonec nad Nisou
Jablonec Logo

Jablonec

2 - 1
FT
Liberec Logo

Liberec

Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Ryzek M.
36'
Sub
Obinaya S. In: Zorvan F.
Out: Obinaya S.
38' Event
Zorvan F.
Assist: Polidar M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Jablonec in this Chance Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jablonec.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Jablonec
15%
Draws
67%
Liberec
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Liberec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Jablonec average 1.31 goals a game right now, well clear of Liberec's 1.29.
  • 67% — that's where the model lands on Liberec taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Jablonec Clean Sheet 20%
Liberec Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jablonec Liberec
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.31 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Chance Liga
Jablonec vs Liberec
1:2
May 24, 2026 Chance Liga
Jablonec vs Liberec
2:1
Apr 25, 2026 Chance Liga
Jablonec vs Liberec
1:2
Oct 25, 2025 Chance Liga
Liberec vs Jablonec
0:2
Mar 8, 2025 Chance Liga
Jablonec vs Liberec
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jablonec Compare

Top Goalscorer Zorvan F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tekijaski N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Liberec Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jablonec 10 / 100
Liberec 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jablonec Liberec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Liberec Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jablonec scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Liberec's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Jablonec stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jablonec VS Liberec
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jablonec

(Home)
12 Sept
Sparta Prague
2 : 0
Jablonec
09 Sept
Jablonec
3 : 0
Ostrava
06 Sept
Jablonec
1 : 2
Liberec
02 Sept
Bohemians 1905
1 : 1
Jablonec
30 Aug
Teplice
2 : 0
Jablonec
Page 1 of 6

Liberec

(Away)
15 Sept
Vlasim
0 : 2
Liberec
12 Sept
Liberec
3 : 0
Mlada Boleslav
06 Sept
Jablonec
1 : 2
Liberec
30 Aug
Liberec
2 : 0
Hradec Kralove
26 Aug
Prepere
0 : 2
Liberec
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slavia Prague 35 24 8 3 74:31 80
2 Sparta Prague 35 23 7 5 69:34 76
3 Plzen 35 18 9 8 60:38 63
4 Hradec Kralove 35 16 8 11 50:41 56
5 Jablonec 35 16 7 12 45:47 55
6 Liberec 35 12 10 13 45:39 46
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)