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Stadium Background

Jaboticabal Atletico vs Guaruja

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 2012 game between Jaboticabal Atletico and Guaruja finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Jaboticabal Atletico
15%
Draws
0%
Guaruja
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jaboticabal Atletico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Jaboticabal Atletico carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Jaboticabal Atletico a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Jaboticabal Atletico Clean Sheet 20%
Guaruja Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaboticabal Atletico Guaruja
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 13 5
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 21
Goals Scored 1.67 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.4 2.19
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2012 Paulista A4
Jaboticabal Atletico vs Guaruja
1:1
Jul 18, 2012 Paulista A4
Guaruja vs Jaboticabal Atletico
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaboticabal Atletico 85 / 100
Guaruja 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaboticabal Atletico Guaruja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jaboticabal Atletico Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Guaruja conceded in 91% of 32 recent games.

Difficult form: Guaruja registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Jaboticabal Atletico scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Guaruja
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaboticabal Atletico

(Home)
02 Sept
Tupa
4 : 1
Jaboticabal Atletico
29 Aug
Jaboticabal Atletico
0 : 2
Olimpia FC
26 Aug
Sao Vicente
2 : 0
Jaboticabal Atletico
19 Aug
Jaboticabal Atletico
2 : 0
Sao Vicente
15 Aug
Olimpia FC
1 : 0
Jaboticabal Atletico
Page 1 of 6

Guaruja

(Away)
08 Jul
Elosport
3 : 0
Guaruja
30 Jun
Guaruja
0 : 3
AA Itarare
23 Jun
Primavera EC
3 : 0
Guaruja
16 Jun
Guaruja
0 : 3
Jabaquara
10 Jun
Maua FC
3 : 0
Guaruja
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Votuporanguense 6 4 1 1 12:3 13
2 Guaruja 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
3 Jaboticabal Atletico 6 3 1 2 8:4 10
4 Manthiqueira 6 0 0 6 5:19 0
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fernandopolis 6 3 2 1 7:7 11
2 Olimpia FC 6 2 2 2 8:5 8
3 Sumare 6 2 2 2 5:6 8
4 Jabaquara 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino 6 4 2 0 10:1 14
2 SKA Brasil 6 3 2 1 11:6 11
3 Americo EC 6 2 2 2 6:5 8
4 Atletico Mogi 6 0 0 6 3:18 0
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tupa 6 4 1 1 6:5 13
2 Mauaense 6 3 1 2 6:5 10
3 Primavera EC 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
4 Guariba 6 1 1 4 4:7 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nacional SP 6 4 1 1 5:2 13
2 Jose Bonifacio EC 6 2 3 1 10:7 9
3 Cotia 6 2 2 2 7:9 8
4 Desportivo 6 0 2 4 4:8 2
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jacarei FC 6 2 3 1 6:5 9
2 Sao Vicente 6 2 2 2 9:5 8
3 SC Barueri 6 2 2 2 7:9 8
4 Pirassununguense 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams