Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Comercial in this Paulista A4 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Comercial.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Comercial lately — more wins on the board than Jacarei FC.
- Model gives Jacarei FC a 39% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Comercial have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jacarei FC | Comercial |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 11 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.73 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.54 | 1.15 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jacarei FC Compare
Comercial Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Comercial let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Jacarei FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Difficult form: Comercial registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Jacarei FC
(Home)Comercial
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter de Bebedouro | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 21:6 | 33 |
| 2 | Sao Caetano | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 23:14 | 29 |
| 3 | Penapolense | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 22:10 | 29 |
| 4 | Sao-Carlense | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 5 | Barretos EC | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 12:10 | 26 |
| 6 | Taquaritinga | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 20:13 | 24 |
| 7 | Jacarei FC | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 11:9 | 23 |
| 8 | Lemense | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 14:12 | 22 |
| 9 | ECUS SP | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 11:6 | 22 |
| 10 | Comercial | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:16 | 20 |
| 11 | Tanabi | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 12:10 | 18 |
| 12 | Jabaquara | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14:17 | 16 |
| 13 | Vocem | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 12:13 | 15 |
| 14 | Colorado Caieiras | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 6:20 | 10 |
| 15 | Nacional SP | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 7:22 | 8 |
| 16 | AEA Aracatuba | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 6:37 | 5 |
