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Jacarei FC vs Sao Caetano

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Jacarei FC
30%
Draws
34%
Sao Caetano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jacarei FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sao Caetano come out ahead of Jacarei FC on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Jacarei FC taking it.
  • Sao Caetano arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Jacarei FC Clean Sheet 20%
Sao Caetano Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jacarei FC Sao Caetano
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 11 6
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 0.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Paulista A4
Sao Caetano vs Jacarei FC
1:0
Apr 11, 2026 Paulista A4
Jacarei FC vs Sao Caetano
0:0
Feb 14, 2026 Paulista A4
Jacarei FC vs Sao Caetano
0:0
Jan 29, 2025 Paulista A4
Sao Caetano vs Jacarei FC
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jacarei FC 36 / 100
Sao Caetano 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jacarei FC Sao Caetano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jacarei FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Jacarei FC scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Sao Caetano has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Jacarei FC VS Sao Caetano
0.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
25% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jacarei FC

(Home)
18 Apr
Sao Caetano
1 : 0
Jacarei FC
11 Apr
Jacarei FC
0 : 0
Sao Caetano
04 Apr
Jacarei FC
0 : 0
ECUS SP
28 Mar
Vocem
0 : 1
Jacarei FC
25 Mar
Jacarei FC
0 : 1
Sao-Carlense
Page 1 of 6

Sao Caetano

(Away)
20 Jul
Sao Caetano
1 : 2
Sao Jose EC
02 May
Sao Caetano
2 : 2
Penapolense
25 Apr
Penapolense
2 : 1
Sao Caetano
18 Apr
Sao Caetano
1 : 0
Jacarei FC
11 Apr
Jacarei FC
0 : 0
Sao Caetano
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Inter de Bebedouro4
Lemense0
Sao-Carlense2
Barretos EC1
Sao Caetano1
Jacarei FC0
Penapolense3
Taquaritinga3
Semi-finals
Inter de Bebedouro4
Sao-Carlense2
Sao Caetano3
Penapolense4
Final
Inter de Bebedouro2
Penapolense3