Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jacarei FC vs Sao-Carlense

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Victhor

AI Match Summary

Sao-Carlense in this Paulista A4 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sao-Carlense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Jacarei FC
35%
Draws
35%
Sao-Carlense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Jacarei FC have won more games recently than Sao-Carlense.
  • 35% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Sao-Carlense have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Jacarei FC Clean Sheet 23%
Sao-Carlense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jacarei FC Sao-Carlense
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 11 12
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 0.9 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.71 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Paulista A4
Jacarei FC vs Sao-Carlense
0:1
Jan 25, 2025 Paulista A4
Sao-Carlense vs Jacarei FC
1:1
Jan 28, 2024 Paulista A4
Jacarei FC vs Sao-Carlense
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jacarei FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Sao-Carlense Compare

Top Goalscorer Victhor
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jacarei FC 33 / 100
Sao-Carlense 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jacarei FC Sao-Carlense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao-Carlense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao-Carlense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Jacarei FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Jacarei FC found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 1.33 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Jacarei FC VS Sao-Carlense
0.38 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
25% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jacarei FC

(Home)
18 Apr
Sao Caetano
1 : 0
Jacarei FC
11 Apr
Jacarei FC
0 : 0
Sao Caetano
04 Apr
Jacarei FC
0 : 0
ECUS SP
28 Mar
Vocem
0 : 1
Jacarei FC
25 Mar
Jacarei FC
0 : 1
Sao-Carlense
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Sao-Carlense

(Away)
01 May
Inter de Bebedouro
1 : 1
Sao-Carlense
26 Apr
Sao-Carlense
1 : 3
Inter de Bebedouro
19 Apr
Sao-Carlense
1 : 0
Barretos EC
10 Apr
Barretos EC
1 : 1
Sao-Carlense
04 Apr
Lemense
1 : 1
Sao-Carlense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter de Bebedouro 15 10 3 2 21:6 33
2 Sao Caetano 15 9 2 4 23:14 29
3 Penapolense 15 8 5 2 22:10 29
4 Sao-Carlense 15 7 5 3 20:13 26
5 Barretos EC 15 7 5 3 12:10 26
6 Taquaritinga 15 7 3 5 20:13 24
7 Jacarei FC 15 6 5 4 11:9 23
8 Lemense 15 6 4 5 14:12 22
9 ECUS SP 15 5 7 3 11:6 22
10 Comercial 15 6 2 7 17:16 20
11 Tanabi 15 4 6 5 12:10 18
12 Jabaquara 15 4 4 7 14:17 16
13 Vocem 15 3 6 6 12:13 15
14 Colorado Caieiras 15 1 7 7 6:20 10
15 Nacional SP 15 2 2 11 7:22 8
16 AEA Aracatuba 15 1 2 12 6:37 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista B (Main)