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Jacarei FC vs Sumare

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2012
Jacarei FC Logo

Jacarei FC

3 - 1
FT
Sumare Logo

Sumare

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Jacarei FC in this Paulista A4 2012 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jacarei FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Jacarei FC
30%
Draws
12%
Sumare
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jacarei FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Jacarei FC have won more games recently than Sumare.
  • Model gives Jacarei FC a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paulista A4 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Jacarei FC Clean Sheet 20%
Sumare Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jacarei FC Sumare
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 11 6
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 0.87 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.73 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2012 Paulista A4
Jacarei FC vs Sumare
3:1
Aug 11, 2012 Paulista A4
Sumare vs Jacarei FC
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jacarei FC 85 / 100
Sumare 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jacarei FC Sumare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jacarei FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sumare has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Jacarei FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Sumare's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Jacarei FC VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jacarei FC

(Home)
18 Apr
Sao Caetano
1 : 0
Jacarei FC
11 Apr
Jacarei FC
0 : 0
Sao Caetano
04 Apr
Jacarei FC
0 : 0
ECUS SP
28 Mar
Vocem
0 : 1
Jacarei FC
25 Mar
Jacarei FC
0 : 1
Sao-Carlense
Page 1 of 6

Sumare

(Away)
21 Sept
Primavera EC
3 : 0
Sumare
17 Sept
Sumare
1 : 5
Lemense
14 Sept
Sumare
1 : 1
Manthiqueira
07 Sept
Manthiqueira
2 : 1
Sumare
03 Sept
Lemense
3 : 1
Sumare
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Barueri 6 2 3 1 6:7 9
2 Votuporanguense 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
3 Nacional SP 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
4 SKA Brasil 6 1 2 3 6:7 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Fourth stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jacarei FC 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Fernandopolis 6 2 2 2 7:9 8
3 Mauaense 6 1 3 2 4:5 6
4 Sumare 6 1 3 2 9:10 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Fourth stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino 6 4 2 0 8:1 14
2 Jose Bonifacio EC 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
3 Americo EC 6 1 1 4 4:7 4
4 Guaruja 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Fourth stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Vicente 6 3 2 1 7:5 11
2 Tupa 6 2 3 1 9:6 9
3 Olimpia FC 6 2 3 1 5:3 9
4 Jaboticabal Atletico 6 1 0 5 4:11 3
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Fourth stage)