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Jacarei FC vs Uniao Sao Joao

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2023
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AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 2023 game between Jacarei FC and Uniao Sao Joao finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Uniao Sao Joao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Jacarei FC
28%
Draws
22%
Uniao Sao Joao
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Jacarei FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Uniao Sao Joao carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Jacarei FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Jacarei FC Clean Sheet 20%
Uniao Sao Joao Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jacarei FC Uniao Sao Joao
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 11 8
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2023 Paulista A4
Jacarei FC vs Uniao Sao Joao
0:1
Aug 2, 2023 Paulista A4
Uniao Sao Joao vs Jacarei FC
2:2
Apr 3, 2013 Paulista A3
Uniao Sao Joao vs Jacarei FC
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jacarei FC 49 / 100
Uniao Sao Joao 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jacarei FC Uniao Sao Joao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Uniao Sao Joao has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Jacarei FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Jacarei FC's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Jacarei FC VS Uniao Sao Joao
0.75 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jacarei FC

(Home)
18 Apr
Sao Caetano
1 : 0
Jacarei FC
11 Apr
Jacarei FC
0 : 0
Sao Caetano
04 Apr
Jacarei FC
0 : 0
ECUS SP
28 Mar
Vocem
0 : 1
Jacarei FC
25 Mar
Jacarei FC
0 : 1
Sao-Carlense
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Uniao Sao Joao

(Away)
22 Jul
Uniao Sao Joao
0 : 0
Piracicaba
04 Jul
Santos
3 : 0
Uniao Sao Joao
21 Mar
Uniao Sao Joao
2 : 2
EC Sao Bernardo
14 Mar
Paulista
3 : 0
Uniao Sao Joao
11 Mar
Uniao Sao Joao
2 : 1
Francana
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uniao Sao Joao62405:310
2Nacional SP62314:49
3XV de Jau62135:57
4Jacarei FC61234:65
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Catanduva FC63307:412
2Rio Branco SP62229:78
3Penapolense61416:57
4Jabaquara60333:93
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uniao Barbarense62403:110
2America SP61418:87
3Sao-Carlense62135:67
4Vocem61326:76
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Francana641110:613
2Taquaritinga64029:612
3SKA Brasil63127:610
4Independente SP60063:110
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Play Offs)