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Jacarei (Inactive) vs Manthiqueira Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 2011 game between Jacarei (Inactive) and Manthiqueira finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jacarei (Inactive).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Jacarei (Inactive)
15%
Draws
51%
Manthiqueira
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manthiqueira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Manthiqueira carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Manthiqueira a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Jacarei (Inactive) Clean Sheet 20%
Manthiqueira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jacarei (Inactive) Manthiqueira
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 5 14
Draws 10 5
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2014 Paulista A4
Manthiqueira vs Jacarei (Inactive)
2:0
Apr 19, 2014 Paulista A4
Jacarei (Inactive) vs Manthiqueira
1:0
Jul 7, 2013 Paulista A4
Manthiqueira vs Jacarei (Inactive)
1:0
May 11, 2013 Paulista A4
Jacarei (Inactive) vs Manthiqueira
1:1
Jul 1, 2012 Paulista A4
Manthiqueira vs Jacarei (Inactive)
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jacarei (Inactive) 16 / 100
Manthiqueira 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jacarei (Inactive) Manthiqueira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manthiqueira Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manthiqueira has conceded goals in 86% of their last 36 outings.

Jacarei (Inactive) found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Manthiqueira lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Manthiqueira
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jacarei (Inactive)

(Home)
08 Jun
Uniao Mogi
2 : 0
Jacarei (Inactive)
31 May
Jacarei (Inactive)
2 : 1
Lemense
25 May
Manthiqueira
2 : 0
Jacarei (Inactive)
10 May
Jacarei (Inactive)
2 : 2
Atletico Mogi
03 May
Jacarei (Inactive)
0 : 3
Uniao Mogi
Page 1 of 6

Manthiqueira

(Away)
05 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 1
Manthiqueira
27 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2
Jose Bonifacio EC
20 Jun
Manthiqueira
2 : 1
Mauaense
14 Jun
Barcelona SP
1 : 5
Manthiqueira
06 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2
Itaqua
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Votuporanguense 12 5 5 2 17:14 20
2 Bandeirante 12 5 5 2 18:11 20
3 Fernandopolis 12 5 4 3 14:7 19
4 Tupa 12 4 5 3 12:13 17
5 Jose Bonifacio EC 12 3 5 4 13:12 14
6 Tanabi 12 2 5 5 8:13 11
7 Assisense 12 3 1 8 9:21 10
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barretos EC 12 7 5 0 25:12 26
2 Guariba 12 6 4 2 23:11 22
3 Ole Brasil 12 7 0 5 20:17 21
4 Olimpia FC 12 5 3 4 19:12 18
5 Jaboticabal Atletico 12 5 3 4 26:22 18
6 Americo EC 12 2 1 9 21:31 7
7 Matonense 12 1 2 9 7:36 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente SP 10 8 2 0 17:3 26
2 Palmeirinha SP 10 5 4 1 17:6 19
3 Guacuano 10 5 3 2 11:7 18
4 Brasilis 10 4 2 4 16:12 14
5 Sao Judas Tadeu 10 1 1 8 9:18 4
6 Lencoense 10 1 0 9 9:33 3
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportivo 14 9 1 4 26:16 28
2 Sumare 14 7 4 3 18:13 25
3 Cotia 14 6 5 3 27:23 23
4 Capivariano 14 5 6 3 30:20 21
5 Primavera EC 14 5 5 4 17:15 20
6 SKA Brasil 14 5 3 6 18:18 18
7 Lemense 14 4 2 8 16:30 14
8 Elosport 14 1 2 11 12:29 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarulhos 14 10 0 4 27:16 30
2 Jacarei (Inactive) 14 8 3 3 21:13 27
3 FC Primeira Camisa 14 6 6 2 25:13 24
4 ECUS SP 14 6 2 6 12:15 20
5 Uniao Suzano 14 5 4 5 21:18 19
6 Jacarei FC 14 5 3 6 14:18 18
7 Manthiqueira 14 2 4 8 10:22 10
8 Uniao Mogi 14 2 2 10 13:28 8
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portuguesa Santista 14 10 1 3 21:7 31
2 Sao Vicente 14 9 2 3 29:19 29
3 EC Sao Bernardo 14 8 2 4 26:14 26
4 Guaruja 14 7 2 5 19:16 23
5 Mauaense 14 6 4 4 27:17 22
6 Jabaquara 14 7 0 7 21:24 21
7 Nacional SP 14 1 2 11 16:32 5
8 Palestra 14 1 1 12 8:38 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Second stage)