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Jacioba vs Guarany Alagoano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Alagoano 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Myller G.
74' Event
Denilson
90' Event
Lopeu

AI Match Summary

The Alagoano 2 2025 game between Jacioba and Guarany Alagoano finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guarany Alagoano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Jacioba
30%
Draws
62%
Guarany Alagoano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guarany Alagoano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guarany Alagoano come out ahead of Jacioba on wins alone.
  • Model gives Guarany Alagoano a 62% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Alagoano 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Jacioba Clean Sheet 10%
Guarany Alagoano Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jacioba Guarany Alagoano
Matches Played 21 28
Wins 2 15
Draws 1 7
Losses 18 6
Goals Scored 0.48 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.76 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 0.26 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2025 Alagoano 2
Jacioba vs Guarany Alagoano
1:2
Oct 2, 2024 Alagoano 2
Jacioba vs Guarany Alagoano
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jacioba Compare

Top Goalscorer Myller G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.2
Avg xA / game 0.13

Guarany Alagoano Compare

Top Goalscorer Denilson
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopeu
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jacioba 10 / 100
Guarany Alagoano 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jacioba Guarany Alagoano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarany Alagoano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Jacioba's goal record stands at 24% scoring rate across 21 recent games.

Guarany Alagoano has conceded goals in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Jacioba went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jacioba VS Guarany Alagoano
0.13 Goals Scored 2
3.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jacioba

(Home)
02 May
Alianca
9 : 0
Jacioba
25 Apr
Jacioba
0 : 1
Miguelense
22 Apr
Zumbi
2 : 0
Jacioba
19 Apr
Sao Domingos AL
0 : 0
Jacioba
11 Apr
Jacioba
0 : 1
Sporting FC
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Guarany Alagoano

(Away)
18 Oct
Guarany Alagoano
2 : 2
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
12 Oct
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
2 : 1
Guarany Alagoano
04 Oct
Guarany Alagoano
1 : 1
Agrimaq
27 Sept
Agrimaq
0 : 2
Guarany Alagoano
21 Sept
Miguelense
1 : 4
Guarany Alagoano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarany Alagoano 7 7 0 0 16:2 21
2 Cruzeiro Arapiraca 7 5 1 1 11:4 16
3 Dimensao Capela 7 4 0 3 12:7 12
4 Agrimaq 7 4 0 3 13:11 12
5 Zumbi 7 3 1 3 10:6 10
6 Alianca 7 2 0 5 10:12 6
7 Miguelense 7 2 0 5 8:13 6
8 Jacioba 7 0 0 7 3:28 0
Promotion - Alagoano 2 2025 (Play Offs)