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Jacobinense vs Vitoria da Conquista

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Wesley Popo
47' Event
Humberto

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Baiano 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Jacobinense
20%
Draws
64%
Vitoria da Conquista
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vitoria da Conquista

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Jacobinense haven't matched Vitoria da Conquista's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Vitoria da Conquista a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Baiano 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Jacobinense Clean Sheet 17%
Vitoria da Conquista Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jacobinense Vitoria da Conquista
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 11
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0.97 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 29, 2024 Baiano 2
Jacobinense vs Vitoria da Conquista
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jacobinense Compare

Top Goalscorer Humberto
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Vitoria da Conquista Compare

Top Goalscorer Wesley Popo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jacobinense 10 / 100
Vitoria da Conquista 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jacobinense Vitoria da Conquista

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitoria da Conquista Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vitoria da Conquista's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

Attacking prowess: Jacobinense scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Away concern: Vitoria da Conquista has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jacobinense VS Vitoria da Conquista
0 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jacobinense

(Home)
14 Jul
Porto-BA
2 : 0
Jacobinense
07 Jul
Jacobinense
1 : 3
Galicia
03 Jul
Grapiuna
4 : 1
Jacobinense
29 Jun
Jacobinense
1 : 1
Vitoria da Conquista
25 Jun
SSA
4 : 1
Jacobinense
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Vitoria da Conquista

(Away)
05 Jul
Vitoria da Conquista
2 : 2
Fluminense de Feira
21 Jun
Barreiras
2 : 1
Vitoria da Conquista
14 Jun
Vitoria da Conquista
0 : 1
Redencao
06 Jun
Camacari
2 : 5
Vitoria da Conquista
31 May
Vitoria da Conquista
0 : 2
Grapiuna
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fluminense de Feira 9 7 1 1 10:2 22
2 Grapiuna 9 5 3 1 16:6 18
3 Colo Colo 9 4 5 0 11:4 17
4 Porto-BA 9 4 3 2 8:5 15
5 SSA 9 3 4 2 10:6 13
6 Vitoria da Conquista 9 2 4 3 7:8 10
7 Galicia 9 1 5 3 5:7 8
8 Leonico 9 1 4 4 6:10 7
9 Feirense 9 1 3 5 7:16 6
10 Jacobinense 9 0 2 7 5:21 2
Promotion - Baiano 2 2024 (Play Offs)