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Jacuipense vs Imperatriz

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Nordeste
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Gleidson
26'
Ruan
33'
Flavinho

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Jacuipense
35%
Draws
43%
Imperatriz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Imperatriz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jacuipense come out ahead of Imperatriz on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Jacuipense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Imperatriz, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Jacuipense here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Jacuipense Clean Sheet 15%
Imperatriz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jacuipense Imperatriz
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 9 11
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2026 Copa do Nordeste
Jacuipense vs Imperatriz
0:1
Oct 18, 2020 Serie C
Jacuipense vs Imperatriz
3:1
Oct 14, 2020 Serie C
Imperatriz vs Jacuipense
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jacuipense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Imperatriz Compare

Top Goalscorer Ivan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jacuipense 31 / 100
Imperatriz 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jacuipense Imperatriz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Imperatriz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jacuipense scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Imperatriz conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Jacuipense stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jacuipense VS Imperatriz
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jacuipense

(Home)
28 Jun
Treze PB
0 : 0
Jacuipense
21 Jun
Jacuipense
1 : 3
Treze PB
14 Jun
Jacuipense
1 : 1
ASA
31 May
CSA
1 : 1
Jacuipense
24 May
Jacuipense
2 : 2
Juazeirense
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Imperatriz

(Away)
12 Jul
Ferroviario
3 : 0
Imperatriz
04 Jul
Imperatriz
1 : 1
Ferroviario
27 Jun
Maracana
0 : 1
Imperatriz
20 Jun
Imperatriz
1 : 1
Maracana
06 Jun
Imperatriz
4 : 0
Tuna Luso
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