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Stadium Background

Jadran Dekani vs Jesenice - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Krupic E.
(Penalty)
53' Event
Krupic E.

AI Match Summary

The 2. SNL game between Jadran Dekani and Jesenice finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jesenice.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Jadran Dekani
30%
Draws
16%
Jesenice
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jadran Dekani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Jadran Dekani carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Jadran Dekani taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Jadran Dekani Clean Sheet 18%
Jesenice Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jadran Dekani Jesenice
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 7
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 0.97 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 2. SNL
Jadran Dekani vs Jesenice
0:2
Mar 15, 2026 2. SNL
Jadran Dekani vs Jesenice
3:0
Aug 30, 2025 2. SNL
Jesenice vs Jadran Dekani
2:2
Apr 18, 2012 3. SNL - West
Jesenice vs Jadran Dekani
1:2
Aug 20, 2011 3. SNL - West
Jadran Dekani vs Jesenice
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jadran Dekani Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Jesenice Compare

Top Goalscorer Krupic E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jadran Dekani 49 / 100
Jesenice 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jadran Dekani Jesenice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jadran Dekani Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Jesenice conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Jadran Dekani went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Jesenice lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jadran Dekani VS Jesenice
0.5 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
25% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Jadran Dekani

(Home)
06 Nov
Jadran Dekani
1 : 0
Bistrica
31 Oct
Dravinja
1 : 0
Jadran Dekani
27 Oct
Jadran Dekani
0 : 0
NK Brezice
16 Oct
Triglav
1 : 0
Jadran Dekani
10 Oct
Jadran Dekani
1 : 0
Vrhnika
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Jesenice

(Away)
31 Oct
Rudar
2 : 2
Jesenice
28 Oct
Jesenice
1 : 3
Bistrica
16 Oct
Dravinja
2 : 1
Jesenice
10 Oct
Jesenice
2 : 2
NK Brezice
04 Oct
Triglav
4 : 0
Jesenice
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Triglav 14 10 1 3 31:13 31
2 Tabor Sezana 13 10 1 2 26:10 31
3 Beltinci 13 9 1 3 39:17 28
4 Bistrica 14 7 2 5 19:17 23
5 Ilirija 14 7 1 6 25:17 22
6 Bilje 13 7 0 6 23:27 21
7 Rudar 13 6 1 6 23:20 19
8 Jadran Dekani 14 5 4 5 8:8 19
9 Jesenice 13 5 3 5 22:21 18
10 Slovan Ljubljana 13 5 2 6 14:21 17
11 Primorje 13 4 4 5 13:17 16
12 Dravinja 13 4 2 7 19:26 14
13 Vrhnika 13 4 2 7 12:22 14
14 NK Krka 13 4 1 8 17:22 13
15 Krsko Posavje 13 2 3 8 9:27 9
16 NK Brezice 13 1 4 8 12:27 7
Promotion - Prva liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga (Relegation)