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Jadran Luka Ploce vs Medjimurje - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Tezacki I.
20' Event
Petrovic L.
35' Event
Ratajec P.

AI Match Summary

The Druga NL 2022/2023 game between Jadran Luka Ploce and Medjimurje finished 6-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jadran Luka Ploce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Jadran Luka Ploce
15%
Draws
21%
Medjimurje
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jadran Luka Ploce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Medjimurje haven't matched Jadran Luka Ploce's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Jadran Luka Ploce a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Jadran Luka Ploce Clean Sheet 20%
Medjimurje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jadran Luka Ploce Medjimurje
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 25 4
Draws 7 2
Losses 8 24
Goals Scored 1.98 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.02 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2023 Druga NL
Jadran Luka Ploce vs Medjimurje
6:2
Nov 4, 2022 Druga NL
Medjimurje vs Jadran Luka Ploce
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jadran Luka Ploce Compare

Top Goalscorer Petrovic L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Martic D.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Medjimurje Compare

Top Goalscorer Tezacki I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ratajec P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jadran Luka Ploce 85 / 100
Medjimurje 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jadran Luka Ploce Medjimurje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jadran Luka Ploce Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jadran Luka Ploce scored in 88% of their last 40 outings.

Medjimurje's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Jadran Luka Ploce has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jadran Luka Ploce VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jadran Luka Ploce

(Home)
02 Oct
Zrinjski
2 : 1
Jadran Luka Ploce
26 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0
Kustosija
19 Sept
Vukovar 1991
2 : 3
Jadran Luka Ploce
12 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0
Orijent
06 Sept
Bijelo Brdo
1 : 0
Jadran Luka Ploce
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Medjimurje

(Away)
11 Feb
Medjimurje
1 : 2
Mladost Zdralovi
08 Feb
Radnik Krizevci
5 : 0
Medjimurje
03 Jun
Medjimurje
4 : 3
Belisce
26 May
Opatija
5 : 3
Medjimurje
20 May
Medjimurje
0 : 1
Marsonia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sesvete 30 19 8 3 64:24 65
2 Zrinski Osjecko 30 19 6 5 45:22 63
3 Jadran Luka Ploce 30 17 9 4 54:23 60
4 Mladost Zdralovi 30 14 8 8 48:26 50
5 Bjelovar 30 12 10 8 46:31 46
6 Dugo Selo 30 12 9 9 50:43 45
7 Opatija 30 12 9 9 48:42 45
8 Hrvace 30 10 8 12 48:49 38
9 Belisce 30 10 7 13 39:47 37
10 Jadran Porec 30 9 9 12 51:61 36
11 Marsonia 30 11 3 16 40:52 36
12 Grobnican 30 10 5 15 42:44 35
13 Trnje 30 9 7 14 43:55 34
14 Zagorec Krapina 30 9 7 14 36:53 34
15 Osijek 2 30 7 4 19 32:64 25
16 Medjimurje 30 4 3 23 22:72 15
Promotion - Prva NL 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druga NL 2022/2023 (Relegation)