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Jadran Luka Ploce vs Radnik Krizevci - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL 2025/2026 NK Jadran, Luka Ploce
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Match Events

64' Event
Maric N.

AI Match Summary

The Druga NL 2025/2026 game between Jadran Luka Ploce and Radnik Krizevci finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jadran Luka Ploce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Jadran Luka Ploce
15%
Draws
37%
Radnik Krizevci
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jadran Luka Ploce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jadran Luka Ploce come out ahead of Radnik Krizevci on wins alone.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Jadran Luka Ploce taking it.
  • Regular Druga NL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Jadran Luka Ploce Clean Sheet 17%
Radnik Krizevci Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jadran Luka Ploce Radnik Krizevci
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 16 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Druga NL
Jadran Luka Ploce vs Radnik Krizevci
1:0
Nov 29, 2025 Druga NL
Radnik Krizevci vs Jadran Luka Ploce
3:1
Apr 26, 2025 Druga NL
Radnik Krizevci vs Jadran Luka Ploce
3:3
Oct 26, 2024 Druga NL
Jadran Luka Ploce vs Radnik Krizevci
0:3
May 4, 2024 Druga NL
Jadran Luka Ploce vs Radnik Krizevci
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jadran Luka Ploce Compare

Top Goalscorer Maric N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Radnik Krizevci Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jadran Luka Ploce 39 / 100
Radnik Krizevci 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jadran Luka Ploce Radnik Krizevci

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jadran Luka Ploce Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jadran Luka Ploce found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Radnik Krizevci has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Jadran Luka Ploce stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jadran Luka Ploce VS Radnik Krizevci
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jadran Luka Ploce

(Home)
02 Oct
Zrinjski
2 : 1
Jadran Luka Ploce
26 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0
Kustosija
19 Sept
Vukovar 1991
2 : 3
Jadran Luka Ploce
12 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0
Orijent
06 Sept
Bijelo Brdo
1 : 0
Jadran Luka Ploce
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Radnik Krizevci

(Away)
03 Oct
Radnik Krizevci
0 : 2
Solin
25 Sept
Dragovoljac
0 : 1
Radnik Krizevci
19 Sept
Radnik Krizevci
2 : 2
Jarun
12 Sept
NK Koprivnica
0 : 3
Radnik Krizevci
05 Sept
Radnik Krizevci
1 : 4
Bjelovar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Segesta 30 21 2 7 58:33 65
2 Kustosija 30 17 8 5 55:23 59
3 Jadran Luka Ploce 30 18 5 7 56:29 59
4 Mladost Zdralovi 30 17 8 5 48:32 59
5 Uljanik Pula 30 16 4 10 53:44 52
6 Uskok Klis 30 14 5 11 48:36 47
7 Radnik Krizevci 30 13 8 9 39:28 47
8 Solin 30 12 9 9 46:43 45
9 Trnje 30 8 7 15 37:48 31
10 Grobnican 30 7 10 13 46:60 31
11 Varteks Varazdin (2011) 30 8 7 15 34:48 31
12 Bjelovar 30 7 8 15 32:46 29
13 Lucko 30 8 5 17 32:46 29
14 Dugo Selo 30 7 8 15 22:43 29
15 Dragovoljac 30 6 10 14 28:49 28
16 Croatia Dakovo 30 7 4 19 30:56 25
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