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Jadran Luka Ploce vs Segesta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

Prva NL NK Jadran, Luka Ploce
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jadran Luka Ploce host Segesta in the Prva NL. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Jadran Luka Ploce have averaged 1.71 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against Segesta's 2.6 scored and 0.9 conceded. Past meetings favor Jadran Luka Ploce slightly — 3-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 2.25, favoring Segesta. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Jadran Luka Ploce
20%
Draws
40%
Segesta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Segesta lately — more wins on the board than Jadran Luka Ploce.
  • Model gives Jadran Luka Ploce a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Jadran Luka Ploce have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Jadran Luka Ploce Clean Sheet 10%
Segesta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jadran Luka Ploce Segesta
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 15 20
Draws 5 5
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.71 2.6
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Druga NL
Segesta vs Jadran Luka Ploce
1:0
Aug 23, 2025 Druga NL
Jadran Luka Ploce vs Segesta
2:0
May 17, 2025 Druga NL
Jadran Luka Ploce vs Segesta
4:1
Nov 17, 2024 Druga NL
Segesta vs Jadran Luka Ploce
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jadran Luka Ploce 34 / 100
Segesta 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jadran Luka Ploce Segesta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jadran Luka Ploce's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Segesta conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Jadran Luka Ploce stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jadran Luka Ploce VS Segesta
1.63 Goals Scored 3.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jadran Luka Ploce

(Home)
09 Oct
Sesvete
1 : 1
Jadran Luka Ploce
02 Oct
Zrinjski
2 : 1
Jadran Luka Ploce
26 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0
Kustosija
19 Sept
Vukovar 1991
2 : 3
Jadran Luka Ploce
12 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0
Orijent
Page 1 of 6

Segesta

(Away)
11 Oct
Segesta
1 : 3
Dinamo Zagreb 2
27 Sept
Segesta
1 : 1
Karlovac
18 Sept
Mladost Zdralovi
1 : 3
Segesta
12 Sept
Segesta
2 : 1
Dugopolje
09 Sept
Segesta
3 : 1
Osijek
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia Zmijavci 8 5 1 2 12:6 16
2 Jadran Luka Ploce 8 4 3 1 13:8 15
3 Mladost Zdralovi 8 4 2 2 8:7 14
4 Cibalia 8 3 4 1 8:6 13
5 Bijelo Brdo 8 4 1 3 10:9 13
6 Dinamo Zagreb 2 8 4 0 4 14:12 12
7 Karlovac 8 3 2 3 11:12 11
8 Segesta 8 3 2 3 10:11 11
9 Orijent 8 3 2 3 8:9 11
10 Vukovar 1991 8 3 2 3 12:14 11
11 Sesvete 8 3 1 4 10:9 10
12 Dugopolje 8 2 3 3 9:10 9
13 Opatija 8 2 2 4 9:11 8
14 Dubrava Zagreb 8 2 2 4 7:9 8
15 Kustosija 8 1 4 3 4:6 7
16 Hrvace 8 2 1 5 7:13 7
Promotion - HNL 2027/2028 (Main)