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Jadran Porec vs Nehaj Senj - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL West
Jadran Porec Logo

Jadran Porec

1 - 0
FT
Nehaj Senj Logo

Nehaj Senj

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL West game between Jadran Porec and Nehaj Senj finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jadran Porec.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Jadran Porec
15%
Draws
85%
Nehaj Senj
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nehaj Senj

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nehaj Senj come out ahead of Jadran Porec on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular 3. HNL West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Jadran Porec Clean Sheet 15%
Nehaj Senj Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jadran Porec Nehaj Senj
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 4 7
Draws 2 8
Losses 26 15
Goals Scored 0.78 1
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2022 3. HNL West
Nehaj Senj vs Jadran Porec
1:1
Nov 20, 2021 3. HNL West
Jadran Porec vs Nehaj Senj
1:0
May 29, 2021 3. HNL West
Nehaj Senj vs Jadran Porec
0:3
Nov 14, 2020 3. HNL West
Jadran Porec vs Nehaj Senj
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jadran Porec 35 / 100
Nehaj Senj 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jadran Porec Nehaj Senj

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nehaj Senj Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nehaj Senj let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Jadran Porec's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Nehaj Senj lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jadran Porec VS Nehaj Senj
0.88 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jadran Porec

(Home)
26 Aug
Maksimir
3 : 2
Jadran Porec
31 May
Jadran Porec
1 : 2
Marsonia
24 May
Solin
6 : 0
Jadran Porec
17 May
Grobnican
2 : 0
Jadran Porec
10 May
Jadran Porec
1 : 2
Trnje
Page 1 of 7

Nehaj Senj

(Away)
26 Aug
Nehaj Senj
1 : 2
Vukovar 1991
28 Aug
Nehaj Senj
0 : 4
Croatia Dakovo
31 Aug
Nehaj Senj
0 : 4
Primorac Biograd
28 May
Nehaj Senj
1 : 1
Jadran Porec
21 May
Rudar Labin
4 : 1
Nehaj Senj
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crikvenica 26 18 2 6 53:24 56
2 Grobnican 26 16 7 3 66:23 55
3 Jadran Porec 26 16 6 4 59:22 53
4 Pazinka 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
5 Krk 26 12 3 11 40:42 39
6 Uljanik Pula 26 10 7 9 44:32 37
7 Novigrad 26 10 6 10 39:39 36
8 Rudar Labin 26 11 3 12 37:39 36
9 Cres 26 8 5 13 36:44 29
10 Nehaj Senj 26 7 8 11 26:40 29
11 Buje 26 9 2 15 22:36 29
12 NK Pomorac 26 7 5 14 32:62 26
13 Vinodol 26 5 9 12 31:47 24
14 Naprijed Hreljin 26 5 4 17 24:57 19
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)