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Jaen vs Atarfe Industrial

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2018/2019 game between Jaen and Atarfe Industrial finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jaen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Jaen
15%
Draws
20%
Atarfe Industrial
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jaen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Atarfe Industrial haven't matched Jaen's recent run of results.
  • Jaen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Jaen have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Jaen Clean Sheet 20%
Atarfe Industrial Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaen Atarfe Industrial
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 25 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 2.06 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Jaen vs Atarfe Industrial
6:0
Oct 11, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atarfe Industrial vs Jaen
1:2
Jan 7, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Jaen vs Atarfe Industrial
2:1
Aug 19, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atarfe Industrial vs Jaen
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaen 85 / 100
Atarfe Industrial 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaen Atarfe Industrial

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jaen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaen's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Atarfe Industrial let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Jaen remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jaen VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaen

(Home)
19 Sept
Jaen
2 : 1
UD Ibiza
12 Sept
Teruel
0 : 1
Jaen
06 Sept
Jaen
2 : 2
Huesca
30 Aug
CE Europa
0 : 3
Jaen
06 Aug
Jaen
1 : 2
Cordoba
Page 1 of 8

Atarfe Industrial

(Away)
17 Nov
Huracan Melilla
2 : 1
Atarfe Industrial
18 Aug
Motril
2 : 0
Atarfe Industrial
19 May
CP Almeria
0 : 1
Atarfe Industrial
12 May
Atarfe Industrial
0 : 3
CD Torreperogil
05 May
Mancha
4 : 2
Atarfe Industrial
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jaen 42 32 5 5 99:32 101
2 Linares 42 27 6 9 79:32 87
3 Antequera 42 24 10 8 90:35 82
4 El Palo 42 24 9 9 65:34 81
5 Velez 42 18 14 10 56:40 68
6 Motril 42 20 8 14 79:59 68
7 Loja 42 18 8 16 68:64 62
8 Mancha 42 16 12 14 59:52 60
9 Alhaurin 42 16 11 15 73:69 59
10 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 42 16 10 16 74:59 58
11 CD Torreperogil 42 16 10 16 43:52 58
12 Huetor Vega 42 16 9 17 56:65 57
13 Huetor Tajar 42 15 12 15 65:55 57
14 CP Almeria 42 15 12 15 53:57 57
15 CD Alhaurino 42 14 14 14 72:66 56
16 Torremolinos 42 15 8 19 57:65 53
17 Rincon 42 14 10 18 45:63 52
18 Martos 42 12 8 22 41:70 44
19 Atarfe Industrial 42 12 6 24 49:79 42
20 UD San Pedro 42 11 8 23 48:75 41
21 Guadix 42 8 11 23 44:95 35
22 River Melilla 42 2 1 39 28:125 4
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)