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Jaen vs Villarreal B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 Nuevo Estadio de La Victoria, Jaén
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
04:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jaen host Villarreal B in the Primera RFEF - Group 2. This one's hard to separate. Villarreal B have shipped 0.84 goals a game lately, while Jaen have conceded 0.94 and scored 1.38. Past meetings favor Villarreal B slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 21, 2009, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.56) point toward Villarreal B. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Jaen
30%
Draws
39%
Villarreal B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Villarreal B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Villarreal B have won more games recently than Jaen.
  • Win probability leans Villarreal B's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Jaen Clean Sheet 15%
Villarreal B Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaen Villarreal B
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 17 19
Draws 8 9
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 1.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.94 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2009 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Jaen vs Villarreal B
1:2
Jun 14, 2009 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Villarreal B vs Jaen
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaen 27 / 100
Villarreal B 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaen Villarreal B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villarreal B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaen's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Jaen remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Villarreal B conceded in 59% of 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Jaen VS Villarreal B
1.38 Goals Scored 2.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaen

(Home)
03 Oct
Hercules
0 : 0
Jaen
27 Sept
Antequera
2 : 0
Jaen
19 Sept
Jaen
2 : 1
UD Ibiza
12 Sept
Teruel
0 : 1
Jaen
06 Sept
Jaen
2 : 2
Huesca
Page 1 of 7

Villarreal B

(Away)
04 Oct
Villarreal B
0 : 1
UD Ibiza
25 Sept
Atl. Madrid B
1 : 3
Villarreal B
19 Sept
Villarreal B
2 : 2
Antequera
13 Sept
Huesca
0 : 3
Villarreal B
04 Sept
Villarreal B
2 : 1
Algeciras
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zaragoza 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Villarreal B 6 4 1 1 12:6 13
3 Alcorcon 6 3 3 0 13:4 12
4 Murcia 6 4 0 2 10:7 12
5 FC Cartagena SAD 6 3 2 1 9:4 11
6 Jaen 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
7 Hercules 6 3 1 2 5:5 10
8 Antequera 6 2 3 1 10:8 9
9 UD Ibiza 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
10 Huesca 6 2 3 1 7:7 9
11 Atl. Madrid B 6 2 2 2 11:8 8
12 Real Madrid B 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
13 Sant Andreu 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
14 Gimnastic de Tarragona 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
15 Algeciras 6 2 1 3 8:11 7
16 Aguilas FC 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
17 Rayo Majadahonda 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
18 CE Europa 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
19 Teruel 6 0 2 4 2:12 2
20 Torremolinos 6 0 1 5 6:16 1
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)