Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jagiellonia II vs Blonianka Blonie

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2022/2023 Chorten Arena, Bialystok
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Kowalczyk F.

AI Match Summary

Blonianka Blonie in this III Liga - Group I 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Blonianka Blonie.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Jagiellonia II
20%
Draws
10%
Blonianka Blonie
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jagiellonia II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Blonianka Blonie haven't matched Jagiellonia II's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Jagiellonia II's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Jagiellonia II Clean Sheet 12%
Blonianka Blonie Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jagiellonia II Blonianka Blonie
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.97 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 3.31 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Jagiellonia II vs Blonianka Blonie
0:1
Sep 17, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Blonianka Blonie vs Jagiellonia II
1:5
Apr 2, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Jagiellonia II vs Blonianka Blonie
3:1
Aug 28, 2021 III Liga - Group I
Blonianka Blonie vs Jagiellonia II
4:2
Oct 31, 2020 III Liga - Group I
Blonianka Blonie vs Jagiellonia II
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jagiellonia II Compare

Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.66

Blonianka Blonie Compare

Top Goalscorer Kowalczyk F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jagiellonia II 83 / 100
Blonianka Blonie 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jagiellonia II Blonianka Blonie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jagiellonia II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jagiellonia II found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Blonianka Blonie conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Jagiellonia II remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jagiellonia II VS Blonianka Blonie
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Jagiellonia II

(Home)
25 Sept
Plock II
2 : 1
Jagiellonia II
19 Sept
Jagiellonia II
2 : 3
LKS Lodz II
12 Sept
Jagiellonia II
7 : 4
MKS Mlawa
05 Sept
LKS Lomza
1 : 2
Jagiellonia II
29 Aug
Jagiellonia II
1 : 1
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 7

Blonianka Blonie

(Away)
11 Jul
MKS Mlawa
5 : 2
Blonianka Blonie
12 Feb
Swit Mazowiecki
2 : 0
Blonianka Blonie
27 Jul
Pelikan
0 : 0
Blonianka Blonie
29 Jul
Unia Skierniewice
5 : 2
Blonianka Blonie
19 Jul
Blonianka Blonie
1 : 3
Swit Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 LKS Lodz II 34 20 8 6 76:41 68
2 Legionowo 34 18 10 6 71:43 64
3 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 34 18 10 6 62:39 64
4 Swit Mazowiecki 34 18 7 9 66:45 61
5 Legia II 34 15 10 9 66:48 55
6 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 34 15 10 9 51:43 55
7 Unia Skierniewice 34 15 8 11 41:38 53
8 MKS Mlawa 34 15 7 12 83:71 52
9 Jagiellonia II 34 13 10 11 65:54 49
10 Pilica Bialobrzegi 34 12 9 13 53:55 45
11 Pelikan 34 12 9 13 56:52 45
12 Sokol Ostroda 34 10 6 18 49:71 36
13 Olimpia Zambrow 34 9 9 16 40:63 36
14 Bron Radom 34 9 8 17 60:76 35
15 Warta Sieradz 34 8 10 16 39:53 34
16 Concordia Elblag 34 8 9 17 38:61 33
17 Blonianka Blonie 34 8 6 20 35:68 30
18 Ursus Warszawa 34 5 10 19 42:72 25
Promotion - Division 2 2023/2024 (Main)