Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jagiellonia II vs Kutno

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2021/2022 Chorten Arena, Bialystok
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Wiktoruk B.
45' Event
Cudowski K.
76' Event
Krasniewski M.

AI Match Summary

Kutno in this III Liga - Group I 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kutno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Jagiellonia II
15%
Draws
39%
Kutno
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jagiellonia II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Jagiellonia II have won more games recently than Kutno.
  • Jagiellonia II are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Kutno have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Jagiellonia II Clean Sheet 10%
Kutno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jagiellonia II Kutno
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 7
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.97 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.64
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Jagiellonia II vs Kutno
1:2
Sep 25, 2021 III Liga - Group I
Kutno vs Jagiellonia II
1:0
Sep 5, 2020 III Liga - Group I
Jagiellonia II vs Kutno
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jagiellonia II Compare

Top Goalscorer Wiktoruk B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.56

Kutno Compare

Top Goalscorer Cudowski K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Krasniewski M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jagiellonia II 83 / 100
Kutno 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jagiellonia II Kutno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jagiellonia II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jagiellonia II scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Kutno has conceded goals in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Jagiellonia II has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jagiellonia II VS Kutno
1.75 Goals Scored 3.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 4.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Jagiellonia II

(Home)
25 Sept
Plock II
2 : 1
Jagiellonia II
19 Sept
Jagiellonia II
2 : 3
LKS Lodz II
12 Sept
Jagiellonia II
7 : 4
MKS Mlawa
05 Sept
LKS Lomza
1 : 2
Jagiellonia II
29 Aug
Jagiellonia II
1 : 1
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
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Kutno

(Away)
01 Aug
Wisla Dobrzyn
8 : 4
Kutno
25 Jul
Pelikan
1 : 3
Kutno
22 Feb
Kutno
1 : 6
Tluchowo
25 Jan
MKS Mlawa
3 : 0
Kutno
13 Jul
Kutno
3 : 2
Plock II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Warszawa 36 26 3 7 80:27 81
2 Legionowo 36 24 8 4 76:39 80
3 Swit Mazowiecki 36 17 8 11 58:46 59
4 Legia II 36 16 10 10 77:55 58
5 Blonianka Blonie 36 17 6 13 61:62 57
6 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 36 16 8 12 63:48 56
7 LKS Lodz II 36 15 9 12 63:52 54
8 Ursus Warszawa 36 15 8 13 53:63 53
9 Jagiellonia II 36 16 4 16 66:58 52
10 Bron Radom 36 15 6 15 48:55 51
11 Unia Skierniewice 36 15 4 17 60:58 49
12 Pelikan 36 12 10 14 57:46 46
13 Pilica Bialobrzegi 36 13 6 17 57:72 45
14 Kutno 36 11 10 15 49:64 43
15 Mamry Gizycko 36 13 3 20 43:68 42
16 GKS Wikielec 36 10 12 14 42:53 42
17 Znicz Biala Piska 36 12 6 18 55:69 42
18 Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz 36 5 10 21 36:64 25
19 Wissa Szczuczyn 36 4 9 23 28:73 21
Promotion - Division 2 2022/2023 (Main)