Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jagiellonia II vs Legia II

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Mozdzen M.

AI Match Summary

Legia II in this III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Legia II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Jagiellonia II
44%
Draws
20%
Legia II
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Legia II have won more games recently than Jagiellonia II.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Legia II have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Jagiellonia II Clean Sheet 16%
Legia II Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jagiellonia II Legia II
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 13 27
Draws 7 2
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Jagiellonia II vs Legia II
0:1
Aug 31, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Legia II vs Jagiellonia II
2:1
May 21, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Jagiellonia II vs Legia II
0:2
Oct 27, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Legia II vs Jagiellonia II
1:0
Jun 1, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Legia II vs Jagiellonia II
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jagiellonia II Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Legia II Compare

Top Goalscorer Mozdzen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jagiellonia II 36 / 100
Legia II 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jagiellonia II Legia II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jagiellonia II scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Jagiellonia II remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Legia II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 34 matches.

Scoring Trends

Jagiellonia II VS Legia II
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Legia II34273482:2984
2LKS Lomza34225777:3171
3Warta Sieradz34218564:3471
4Suwalki34205964:4365
5Troszyn341761175:4757
6Plock II341681056:5156
7Widzew Lodz II341731470:6454
8Jagiellonia II341471346:4549
9Tomaszow Mazowiecki341381364:5547
10Zabkovia Zabki341351672:6444
11Swit Mazowiecki341251751:6641
12MKS Mlawa341171655:5940
13Olimpia Elblag341081645:6138
14GKS Wikielec341071740:5437
15Bron Radom34991640:5736
16GKS Belchatow34971850:7634
17Wasilkow34742340:7925
18Znicz Biala Piska34432727:10315