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Jagiellonia II vs Stomil Olsztyn

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Jagiellonia II and Stomil Olsztyn finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jagiellonia II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Jagiellonia II
6%
Draws
4%
Stomil Olsztyn
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Jagiellonia II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Jagiellonia II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Jagiellonia II taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Jagiellonia II Clean Sheet 20%
Stomil Olsztyn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jagiellonia II Stomil Olsztyn
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 18 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 2.13 1
Goals Conceded 1 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Jagiellonia II vs Stomil Olsztyn
1:1
Feb 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Jagiellonia II vs Stomil Olsztyn
3:1
Nov 10, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Stomil Olsztyn vs Jagiellonia II
1:2
Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Stomil Olsztyn vs Jagiellonia II
0:0
Feb 1, 2023 Club Friendly
Stomil Olsztyn vs Jagiellonia II
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jagiellonia II 85 / 100
Stomil Olsztyn 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jagiellonia II Stomil Olsztyn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jagiellonia II scored in 82% of their last 33 games.

Stomil Olsztyn has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Jagiellonia II went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jagiellonia II VS Stomil Olsztyn
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Jagiellonia II

(Home)
25 Jul
Biala Podlaska
3 : 4
Jagiellonia II
11 Jul
KTS Weszlo
2 : 2
Jagiellonia II
30 May
Jagiellonia II
1 : 1
Wasilkow
23 May
GKS Belchatow
1 : 2
Jagiellonia II
17 May
Jagiellonia II
0 : 1
Troszyn
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Stomil Olsztyn

(Away)
25 Jul
Chemik Bydgoszcz
3 : 1
Stomil Olsztyn
18 Jul
Legia U19
3 : 1
Stomil Olsztyn
07 Jun
Stomil Olsztyn
0 : 4
LKS Lomza
31 May
Jagiellonia II
1 : 1
Stomil Olsztyn
28 May
Suwalki
1 : 2
Stomil Olsztyn
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