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Stadium Background

Jagiellonia vs Pafos

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Drachal D.

AI Match Summary

Jagiellonia in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jagiellonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Jagiellonia
15%
Draws
65%
Pafos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pafos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jagiellonia lately — more wins on the board than Pafos.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Pafos taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Jagiellonia Clean Sheet 16%
Pafos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jagiellonia Pafos
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 16 13
Draws 5 9
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.61 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Club Friendly
Jagiellonia vs Pafos
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jagiellonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Drachal D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Pafos Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jagiellonia 11 / 100
Pafos 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jagiellonia Pafos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pafos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jagiellonia's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Pafos let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Jagiellonia went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jagiellonia VS Pafos
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jagiellonia

(Home)
20 Sept
Jagiellonia
1 : 3
Legia
16 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
2 : 1
Jagiellonia
11 Sept
Wisla
2 : 0
Jagiellonia
06 Sept
Jagiellonia
2 : 1
Slask Wroclaw
03 Sept
Lech Poznan
2 : 1
Jagiellonia
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Pafos

(Away)
18 Sept
Pafos
0 : 2
AEL Limassol
13 Sept
AEK Larnaca
0 : 1
Pafos
07 Sept
Pafos
0 : 0
Ol. Nicosia
03 Sept
Omonia
0 : 1
Pafos
30 Aug
Karmiotissa
0 : 3
Pafos
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