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Jagiellonia vs Slask Wroclaw - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Ekstraklasa Chorten Arena, Bialystok
Jagiellonia Logo

Jagiellonia

2 - 1
FT
Slask Wroclaw Logo

Slask Wroclaw

Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Szmyt K.
Assist: Lozano S.
41' Event
Sow O.
Assist: Romanczuk T.
46'
Sub
Tomasiewicz G. In: Linetty K.
Out: Tomasiewicz G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Jagiellonia in this Ekstraklasa matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jagiellonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Jagiellonia
15%
Draws
42%
Slask Wroclaw
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jagiellonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Slask Wroclaw haven't matched Jagiellonia's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Jagiellonia a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Jagiellonia Clean Sheet 16%
Slask Wroclaw Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jagiellonia Slask Wroclaw
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 17 14
Draws 4 8
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.79 2.36
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Jagiellonia vs Slask Wroclaw
2:1
May 16, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Slask Wroclaw vs Jagiellonia
1:1
Nov 22, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Jagiellonia vs Slask Wroclaw
2:2
Mar 8, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Jagiellonia vs Slask Wroclaw
3:1
Sep 26, 2023 Polish Cup
Jagiellonia vs Slask Wroclaw
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jagiellonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Szmyt K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sow O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Slask Wroclaw Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jagiellonia 75 / 100
Slask Wroclaw 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jagiellonia Slask Wroclaw

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jagiellonia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jagiellonia scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Slask Wroclaw's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Slask Wroclaw registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jagiellonia VS Slask Wroclaw
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jagiellonia

(Home)
03 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 2
Polonia Warszawa
29 Sept
Jagiellonia
5 : 0
Suduva
20 Sept
Jagiellonia
1 : 3
Legia
16 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
2 : 1
Jagiellonia
11 Sept
Wisla
2 : 0
Jagiellonia
Page 1 of 6

Slask Wroclaw

(Away)
03 Oct
Slask Wroclaw
0 : 3
Liberec
18 Sept
Wisla
2 : 1
Slask Wroclaw
12 Sept
Slask Wroclaw
1 : 2
Korona Kielce
06 Sept
Jagiellonia
2 : 1
Slask Wroclaw
03 Sept
Slask Wroclaw
2 : 1
Pogon Szczecin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gornik Zabrze 9 7 1 1 16:8 22
2 Legia 9 5 4 0 19:8 19
3 Lech Poznan 8 6 1 1 17:7 19
4 Wisla 9 5 2 2 17:12 17
5 Pogon Szczecin 8 4 3 1 12:6 15
6 Korona Kielce 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
7 Zaglebie 9 4 3 2 11:10 15
8 Piast Gliwice 9 4 1 4 16:15 13
9 GKS Katowice 8 4 0 4 16:13 12
10 Jagiellonia 8 4 0 4 12:13 12
11 Wisla Plock 8 3 2 3 9:12 11
12 Widzew Lodz 9 1 6 2 13:13 9
13 Cracovia 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
14 Radomiak Radom 9 2 2 5 7:20 8
15 Slask Wroclaw 9 1 3 5 11:15 6
16 Motor Lublin 9 1 3 5 9:15 6
17 KS Wieczysta Krakow 8 1 2 5 11:17 5
18 Rakow Czestochowa 9 1 0 8 12:21 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)