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Jagodina vs Din. Vranje - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - East 2021/2022 Gradski Stadion Jagodina, Jagodina
Sat, Apr 30, 2022
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jagodina host Din. Vranje in the Srpska Liga - East 2021/2022. This has Jagodina written all over it on paper. Din. Vranje have shipped 1.67 goals a game lately, while Jagodina have conceded 1.34 and scored 2.73. Head-to-head, Jagodina have won 2 to Din. Vranje's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 30, 2022, ending 0:0. The numbers (2.48 xG vs 1.38) point toward Jagodina. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Jagodina
15%
Draws
0%
Din. Vranje
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jagodina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jagodina come out ahead of Din. Vranje on wins alone.
  • Din. Vranje are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Srpska Liga - East 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Jagodina Clean Sheet 17%
Din. Vranje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jagodina Din. Vranje
Matches Played 41 15
Wins 23 3
Draws 7 2
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 2.73 1
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.48 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2022 Srpska Liga - East
Jagodina vs Din. Vranje
0:0
Oct 16, 2021 Srpska Liga - East
Din. Vranje vs Jagodina
1:4
Apr 3, 2021 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Jagodina vs Din. Vranje
1:1
Sep 27, 2020 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Din. Vranje vs Jagodina
0:1
May 12, 2018 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Din. Vranje vs Jagodina
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jagodina 23 / 100
Din. Vranje 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jagodina Din. Vranje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Din. Vranje Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Din. Vranje's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 15 matches.

Away concern: Din. Vranje has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Jagodina's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 41 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Jagodina VS -
3.75 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jagodina

(Home)
03 Oct
Rembas
4 : 0
Jagodina
26 Sept
Jagodina
0 : 6
Timok
19 Sept
Pcinja
1 : 1
Jagodina
12 Sept
Jagodina
3 : 0
Radnicki Pirot
05 Sept
Djerdap
0 : 1
Jagodina
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Din. Vranje

(Away)
21 Nov
Vlasina
6 : 2
Din. Vranje
13 Nov
Din. Vranje
1 : 2
Brzi Brod
06 Nov
Paracin
1 : 0
Din. Vranje
30 Oct
Din. Vranje
0 : 1
Timocanin
27 Oct
Radnicki Nis
1 : 0
Din. Vranje
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trayal Krusevac 28 20 8 0 42:9 68
2 Buducnost Popovac 28 16 6 6 43:24 54
3 Radnicki Svilajnac 28 14 6 8 48:30 48
4 Radnicki Pirot 28 14 5 9 62:31 47
5 Jagodina 28 12 7 9 33:28 43
6 Dubocica 28 11 9 8 48:34 42
7 Timocanin 28 12 5 11 46:42 41
8 Vlasina 28 12 4 12 38:40 40
9 Pcinja 28 11 6 11 38:40 39
10 Paracin 28 8 10 10 28:31 34
11 Mesevo 28 10 4 14 31:40 34
12 Brzi Brod 28 9 5 14 27:45 32
13 Hajduk Veljko 28 9 4 15 24:42 31
14 Rembas 28 7 6 15 32:47 27
15 Sloga Leskovac 28 1 3 24 18:75 6
16 Din. Vranje 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Prva Liga 2022/2023 (Main)