Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jagodina vs Sloga Leskovac

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - East 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jagodina in this Srpska Liga - East 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jagodina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Jagodina
30%
Draws
23%
Sloga Leskovac
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jagodina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Jagodina have won more games recently than Sloga Leskovac.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Jagodina taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Jagodina here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Jagodina Clean Sheet 20%
Sloga Leskovac Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jagodina Sloga Leskovac
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 18 14
Draws 6 1
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 2.91 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.09
Expected Goals (xG) 2.94 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Srpska Liga - East
Jagodina vs Sloga Leskovac
4:2
Oct 25, 2025 Srpska Liga - East
Sloga Leskovac vs Jagodina
3:1
Mar 12, 2022 Srpska Liga - East
Jagodina vs Sloga Leskovac
2:0
Aug 21, 2021 Srpska Liga - East
Sloga Leskovac vs Jagodina
1:4
Jun 3, 2007 Srpska Liga - East
Jagodina vs Sloga Leskovac
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jagodina 85 / 100
Sloga Leskovac 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jagodina Sloga Leskovac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jagodina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sloga Leskovac conceded in 82% of 33 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Jagodina found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

Solid form: Jagodina remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jagodina VS Sloga Leskovac
3.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Jagodina

(Home)
26 Sept
Jagodina
0 : 6
Timok
19 Sept
Pcinja
1 : 1
Jagodina
12 Sept
Jagodina
3 : 0
Radnicki Pirot
05 Sept
Djerdap
0 : 1
Jagodina
29 Aug
Jagodina
2 : 2
Morava Cuprija
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Sloga Leskovac

(Away)
26 Sept
Sloga Leskovac
3 : 2
Radnicki Pirot
19 Sept
Djerdap
5 : 0
Sloga Leskovac
12 Sept
Sloga Leskovac
0 : 2
Morava Cuprija
05 Sept
Radnicki Svilajnac
2 : 2
Sloga Leskovac
29 Aug
Sloga Leskovac
0 : 5
Brzi Brod
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