Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jagodina vs Toplicanin

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - East 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jagodina in this Srpska Liga - East 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jagodina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Jagodina
6%
Draws
4%
Toplicanin
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Jagodina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jagodina lately — more wins on the board than Toplicanin.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Jagodina taking it.
  • Regular Srpska Liga - East 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Jagodina Clean Sheet 20%
Toplicanin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jagodina Toplicanin
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 2.13 0
Goals Conceded 0.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2023 Srpska Liga - East
Jagodina vs Toplicanin
2:1
Nov 19, 2022 Srpska Liga - East
Toplicanin vs Jagodina
2:2
May 16, 2020 Srpska Liga - East
Jagodina vs Toplicanin
0:0
Nov 2, 2019 Srpska Liga - East
Toplicanin vs Jagodina
1:1
May 9, 2007 Srpska Liga - East
Jagodina vs Toplicanin
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jagodina 85 / 100
Toplicanin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jagodina Toplicanin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toplicanin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Jagodina found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Jagodina went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jagodina VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jagodina

(Home)
12 Jun
Jagodina
13 : 0
Djerdap
07 Jun
Dunav Prahovo
1 : 0
Jagodina
30 May
Jagodina
4 : 1
Paracin
24 May
Radnicki Pirot
1 : 5
Jagodina
16 May
Jagodina
4 : 2
Sloga Leskovac
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Toplicanin

(Away)
17 Feb
Vlasina
0 : 0
Toplicanin
10 Feb
Trayal Krusevac
0 : 1
Toplicanin
11 Jun
Jagodina
2 : 1
Toplicanin
04 Jun
Toplicanin
2 : 4
Radnicki Pirot
27 May
Toplicanin
1 : 1
Buducnost Popovac
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dubocica30216372:2269
2Radnicki Pirot30214566:2767
3Buducnost Popovac30179457:3360
4SFS Borac30138943:3747
5Radnicki Svilajnac301371054:3846
6Timocanin30129952:5245
7Mesevo301431350:4545
8Paracin301351242:3544
9Jagodina301251344:3841
10Dunav Prahovo301171241:3940
11Pcinja301091140:4039
12Vlasina301061434:4736
13Toplicanin30971447:5934
14Brzi Brod301021831:6532
15Timok30661824:5924
16Car Konstantin30112822:834
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