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Jaguar Gdansk vs Grom Nowy Staw

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jaguar Gdansk play Grom Nowy Staw in the Club Friendly 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Jaguar Gdansk averaged 1.65 goals scored and 3.35 conceded. Grom Nowy Staw averaged 1.33 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Jaguar Gdansk won 1, Grom Nowy Staw won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 22, 2025 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Jaguar Gdansk and 2.65 for Grom Nowy Staw. This points to a Jaguar Gdansk double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Jaguar Gdansk
15%
Draws
41%
Grom Nowy Staw
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jaguar Gdansk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Jaguar Gdansk picked up more points recently compared to Grom Nowy Staw.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 2.65 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Jaguar Gdansk Clean Sheet 10%
Grom Nowy Staw Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaguar Gdansk Grom Nowy Staw
Matches Played 17 12
Wins 4 4
Draws 2 1
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.65 1.33
Goals Conceded 3.35 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 1.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Jaguar Gdansk vs Grom Nowy Staw
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaguar Gdansk 42 / 100
Grom Nowy Staw 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaguar Gdansk Grom Nowy Staw

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Jaguar Gdansk or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Jaguar Gdansk attacking → ← attacking Grom Nowy Staw

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaguar Gdansk scored in 76% of their last 17 games.

Grom Nowy Staw let in goals in 92% of their last 12 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Jaguar Gdansk went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Grom Nowy Staw lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

14 Points in last 5 13
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.29
4.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.71