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Jaguar vs Araripina

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2014 Arena Pernambuco, São Lourenço da Mata
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AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2 2014 game between Jaguar and Araripina finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Jaguar
30%
Draws
62%
Araripina
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Araripina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Araripina have managed 1.4 goals a game lately — Jaguar are scoring more at 1.47.
  • Win probability leans Araripina's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Pernambucano 2 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Araripina have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Jaguar Clean Sheet 19%
Araripina Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaguar Araripina
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 9 13
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.47 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2014 Pernambucano 2
Araripina vs Jaguar
3:0
Aug 23, 2014 Pernambucano 2
Jaguar vs Araripina
2:2
Oct 17, 2013 Pernambucano 2
Jaguar vs Araripina
0:1
Oct 8, 2013 Pernambucano 2
Araripina vs Jaguar
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaguar 10 / 100
Araripina 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaguar Araripina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araripina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaguar scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Araripina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Jaguar stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jaguar VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaguar

(Home)
31 Jan
Jaguar
1 : 2
Maguary
28 Jan
Santa Cruz
6 : 0
Jaguar
25 Jan
Retro
1 : 1
Jaguar
22 Jan
Jaguar
0 : 4
Nautico
17 Jan
Decisao
2 : 0
Jaguar
Page 1 of 7

Araripina

(Away)
18 Oct
Araripina
0 : 1
Afogados da Ingazeira
14 Oct
Petrolina
2 : 3
Araripina
11 Oct
Belo Jardim
2 : 2
Araripina
07 Oct
Araripina
2 : 2
Belo Jardim
04 Oct
Araripina
4 : 1
Petrolina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belo Jardim 10 6 3 1 24:7 21
2 Altinho FC 10 5 4 1 17:7 19
3 Jaguar 10 4 3 3 16:15 15
4 Araripina 10 3 6 1 18:12 15
5 Ibis Sport Club 10 2 1 7 10:19 7
6 Ferroviario do Cabo 10 0 3 7 15:40 3
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2014 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vera Cruz 10 6 3 1 22:8 21
2 Timbauba FC 10 4 5 1 13:10 17
3 Atletico PE 10 3 5 2 11:9 14
4 Afogados da Ingazeira 10 3 5 2 14:13 14
5 Olinda FC 10 2 3 5 15:18 9
6 Centro Limoeirense 10 1 1 8 5:22 4
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2014 (Play Offs)