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Jaguar vs Araripina

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2014 Arena Pernambuco, São Lourenço da Mata
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AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2 2014 game between Jaguar and Araripina finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Jaguar
30%
Draws
62%
Araripina
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Araripina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / Very High Confidence
  • Araripina have managed 0 goals a game lately — Jaguar are scoring more at 1.13.
  • Win probability leans Araripina's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Pernambucano 2 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Araripina have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Jaguar Clean Sheet 19%
Araripina Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaguar Araripina
Matches Played 38 32
Wins 12 12
Draws 10 14
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2014 Pernambucano 2
Araripina vs Jaguar
3:0
Aug 23, 2014 Pernambucano 2
Jaguar vs Araripina
2:2
Oct 17, 2013 Pernambucano 2
Jaguar vs Araripina
0:1
Oct 8, 2013 Pernambucano 2
Araripina vs Jaguar
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaguar 10 / 100
Araripina 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaguar Araripina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaguar scored in 71% of their last 38 games.

Araripina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Jaguar stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jaguar VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaguar

(Home)
31 Jan
Jaguar
1 : 2
Maguary
28 Jan
Santa Cruz
6 : 0
Jaguar
25 Jan
Retro
1 : 1
Jaguar
22 Jan
Jaguar
0 : 4
Nautico
17 Jan
Decisao
2 : 0
Jaguar
Page 1 of 8

Araripina

(Away)
18 Oct
Araripina
0 : 1
Afogados da Ingazeira
14 Oct
Petrolina
2 : 3
Araripina
11 Oct
Belo Jardim
2 : 2
Araripina
07 Oct
Araripina
2 : 2
Belo Jardim
04 Oct
Araripina
4 : 1
Petrolina
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belo Jardim 10 6 3 1 24:7 21
2 Altinho FC 10 5 4 1 17:7 19
3 Jaguar 10 4 3 3 16:15 15
4 Araripina 10 3 6 1 18:12 15
5 Ibis Sport Club 10 2 1 7 10:19 7
6 Ferroviario do Cabo 10 0 3 7 15:40 3
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2014 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vera Cruz 10 6 3 1 22:8 21
2 Timbauba FC 10 4 5 1 13:10 17
3 Atletico PE 10 3 5 2 11:9 14
4 Afogados da Ingazeira 10 3 5 2 14:13 14
5 Olinda FC 10 2 3 5 15:18 9
6 Centro Limoeirense 10 1 1 8 5:22 4
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2014 (Play Offs)