Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jaguar vs Maguary

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano Arena Pernambuco, São Lourenço da Mata
Jaguar Logo

Jaguar

1 - 2
FT
Maguary Logo

Maguary

Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Sub
Guilherme In: Recife J.
Out: Guilherme
38'
Pereira I. F.
45'
Bruno Vinicius
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Maguary in this Pernambucano matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maguary.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Jaguar
15%
Draws
64%
Maguary
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maguary

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Maguary haven't matched Jaguar's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Maguary a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Pernambucano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Jaguar Clean Sheet 10%
Maguary Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaguar Maguary
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 9
Draws 8 10
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Pernambucano
Jaguar vs Maguary
1:2
Feb 12, 2025 Pernambucano
Maguary vs Jaguar
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jaguar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Maguary Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Furtado
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaguar 10 / 100
Maguary 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaguar Maguary

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maguary Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaguar scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Maguary has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Maguary has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jaguar VS Maguary
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
4 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaguar

(Home)
31 Jan
Jaguar
1 : 2
Maguary
28 Jan
Santa Cruz
6 : 0
Jaguar
25 Jan
Retro
1 : 1
Jaguar
22 Jan
Jaguar
0 : 4
Nautico
17 Jan
Decisao
2 : 0
Jaguar
Page 1 of 6

Maguary

(Away)
12 Jul
Iguatu
2 : 1
Maguary
04 Jul
Maguary
2 : 3
Iguatu
27 Jun
Piaui
1 : 0
Maguary
21 Jun
Maguary
2 : 0
Piaui
14 Jun
ABC
1 : 0
Maguary
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nautico 7 6 0 1 19:4 18
2 Sport Recife 7 4 2 1 15:8 14
3 Retro 7 3 2 2 8:5 11
4 Santa Cruz 7 3 1 3 12:8 10
5 Decisao 7 3 0 4 8:17 9
6 Maguary 7 2 3 2 10:10 9
7 Academica Vitoria 7 1 1 5 7:14 4
8 Jaguar 7 0 3 4 5:18 3
Promotion - Pernambucano (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pernambucano (Play Offs)
Relegation - Pernambucano 2 2027 (Main)