Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jaguar vs Santa Cruz

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2025 Arena Pernambuco, São Lourenço da Mata
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Thiaguinho
12' Event
Joao Pedro
16' Event
Lucas Siqueira

AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2025 game between Jaguar and Santa Cruz finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santa Cruz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Jaguar
6%
Draws
90%
Santa Cruz
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Santa Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Santa Cruz come out ahead of Jaguar on wins alone.
  • Santa Cruz are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Jaguar Clean Sheet 25%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaguar Santa Cruz
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 0 0.63
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 Pernambucano
Santa Cruz vs Jaguar
6:0
Feb 7, 2025 Pernambucano
Jaguar vs Santa Cruz
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jaguar Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Santa Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Thiaguinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joao Pedro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaguar 10 / 100
Santa Cruz 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaguar Santa Cruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaguar found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Santa Cruz has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Jaguar stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Santa Cruz
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaguar

(Home)
31 Jan
Jaguar
1 : 2
Maguary
28 Jan
Santa Cruz
6 : 0
Jaguar
25 Jan
Retro
1 : 1
Jaguar
22 Jan
Jaguar
0 : 4
Nautico
17 Jan
Decisao
2 : 0
Jaguar
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Santa Cruz

(Away)
12 Jul
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1 : 2
Santa Cruz
04 Jul
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Ituano
27 Jun
Paysandu PA
1 : 3
Santa Cruz
20 Jun
Santa Cruz
0 : 1
Ypiranga FC
14 Jun
Brusque
0 : 1
Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Santa Cruz962114:420
2Maguary952213:1017
3Nautico951315:916
4Sport Recife943217:815
5Decisao934211:1213
6Retro93338:1012
7Jaguar932410:1611
8Central SC92348:99
9Afogados da Ingazeira90545:135
10Petrolina90364:143
Promotion - Pernambucano 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pernambucano 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Pernambucano (Main)