Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jaguar vs Vera Cruz

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2014 Arena Pernambuco, São Lourenço da Mata
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Jaguar
20%
Draws
40%
Vera Cruz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Jaguar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Vera Cruz a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Jaguar have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Jaguar, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Jaguar Clean Sheet 20%
Vera Cruz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaguar Vera Cruz
Matches Played 45 38
Wins 14 10
Draws 12 9
Losses 19 19
Goals Scored 1.33 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2024 Pernambucano 2
Vera Cruz vs Jaguar
0:1
Nov 8, 2023 Pernambucano 2
Vera Cruz vs Jaguar
3:1
Sep 28, 2014 Pernambucano 2
Vera Cruz vs Jaguar
1:0
Sep 24, 2014 Pernambucano 2
Jaguar vs Vera Cruz
0:0
Jul 30, 2014 Pernambucano 2
Jaguar vs Vera Cruz
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaguar 20 / 100
Vera Cruz 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaguar Vera Cruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vera Cruz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vera Cruz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 38 matches.

Jaguar found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (45 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Vera Cruz has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jaguar VS Vera Cruz
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaguar

(Home)
31 Jan
Jaguar
1 : 2
Maguary
28 Jan
Santa Cruz
6 : 0
Jaguar
25 Jan
Retro
1 : 1
Jaguar
22 Jan
Jaguar
0 : 4
Nautico
17 Jan
Decisao
2 : 0
Jaguar
Page 1 of 9

Vera Cruz

(Away)
17 Oct
Vera Cruz
2 : 2
Ipojuca
11 Oct
Centro Limoeirense
1 : 0
Vera Cruz
08 Oct
Vera Cruz
1 : 2
Belo Jardim
28 Sept
America PE
2 : 0
Vera Cruz
21 Sept
Ipojuca
3 : 1
Vera Cruz
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Atletico PE 4
Altinho FC 2
Afogados da Ingazeira 0
Belo Jardim 7
Jaguar 5
Timbauba FC 2
Araripina 2
Vera Cruz 2
Semi-finals
Atletico PE 2
Belo Jardim 1
Jaguar 0
Vera Cruz 1
Final
Atletico PE 1
Vera Cruz 2