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Jaguare U20 vs SAO Mateus U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

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Capixaba U20 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Capixaba U20 2024 game between Jaguare U20 and SAO Mateus U20 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jaguare U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Jaguare U20
15%
Draws
39%
SAO Mateus U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jaguare U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jaguare U20 come out ahead of SAO Mateus U20 on wins alone.
  • Jaguare U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59.8%
Jaguare U20 Clean Sheet 20%
SAO Mateus U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaguare U20 SAO Mateus U20
Matches Played 8 8
Wins 4 2
Draws 1 0
Losses 3 6
Goals Scored 1.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2024 Capixaba U20
Jaguare U20 vs SAO Mateus U20
2:0
Mar 5, 2024 Capixaba U20
SAO Mateus U20 vs Jaguare U20
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaguare U20 85 / 100
SAO Mateus U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaguare U20 SAO Mateus U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jaguare U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jaguare U20 scored in 75% of their last 8 outings.

SAO Mateus U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 8 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Jaguare U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jaguare U20 VS SAO Mateus U20
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaguare U20

(Home)
13 Apr
Jaguare U20
1 : 2
Real Noroeste U20
30 Mar
Jaguare U20
2 : 0
SAO Mateus U20
27 Mar
CTE Colatina U20
0 : 3
Jaguare U20
23 Mar
Jaguare U20
2 : 3
Nova Venecia U20
17 Mar
Real Noroeste U20
0 : 0
Jaguare U20
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SAO Mateus U20

(Away)
13 Apr
CTE Colatina U20
0 : 3
SAO Mateus U20
07 Apr
SAO Mateus U20
2 : 7
Nova Venecia U20
30 Mar
Jaguare U20
2 : 0
SAO Mateus U20
24 Mar
SAO Mateus U20
2 : 3
Real Noroeste U20
17 Mar
SAO Mateus U20
3 : 0
CTE Colatina U20
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nova Venecia U20 8 7 1 0 28:8 22
2 Real Noroeste U20 8 5 2 1 22:7 17
3 Jaguare U20 8 4 1 3 12:7 13
4 SAO Mateus U20 8 2 0 6 10:22 6
5 CTE Colatina U20 8 0 0 8 3:31 0
Promotion - Capixaba U20 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria ES U20 6 4 2 0 14:6 14
2 Capixaba SC U20 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
3 Serra U20 6 2 0 4 7:11 6
4 Sport-ES U20 6 1 0 5 6:13 3
Promotion - Capixaba U20 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Porto Vitoria U20 6 4 2 0 25:4 14
2 Rio Branco ES U20 6 4 1 1 16:9 13
3 Desportiva Ferroviaria U20 6 1 1 4 4:12 4
4 G.E.L. U20 6 1 0 5 5:25 3
Promotion - Capixaba U20 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vilavelhense U20 6 5 0 1 14:5 15
2 Estrela do Norte U20 6 3 1 2 9:10 10
3 Forte U20 6 2 0 4 6:12 6
4 Rio Branco-VN U20 6 1 1 4 9:11 4
Promotion - Capixaba U20 2024 (Play Offs)