Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jaguare vs Rio Branco ES

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rio Branco ES in this Campeonato Capixaba 2009 tie, finishing 2-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Jaguare
20%
Draws
57%
Rio Branco ES
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rio Branco ES

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rio Branco ES lately — more wins on the board than Jaguare.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Rio Branco ES taking it.
  • Rio Branco ES arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Rio Branco ES, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Jaguare Clean Sheet 20%
Rio Branco ES Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jaguare Rio Branco ES
Matches Played 34 43
Wins 11 16
Draws 12 14
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.18 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.05
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2025 Capixaba
Rio Branco ES vs Jaguare
3:0
Jan 30, 2024 Capixaba
Jaguare vs Rio Branco ES
2:2
Apr 14, 2010 Capixaba
Jaguare vs Rio Branco ES
1:2
Feb 27, 2010 Capixaba
Rio Branco ES vs Jaguare
1:0
May 16, 2009 Capixaba
Rio Branco ES vs Jaguare
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jaguare 10 / 100
Rio Branco ES 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jaguare Rio Branco ES

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jaguare scored in 71% of their last 34 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Rio Branco ES has conceded goals in 58% of their last 43 outings.

Recent resilience: Jaguare stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Rio Branco ES
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jaguare

(Home)
23 Feb
Rio Branco ES
3 : 0
Jaguare
18 Feb
Jaguare
1 : 0
Vitoria ES
11 Feb
Real Noroeste
1 : 1
Jaguare
08 Feb
Jaguare
0 : 2
Rio Branco-VN
05 Feb
Porto Vitoria
3 : 1
Jaguare
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Rio Branco ES

(Away)
27 Jun
Uberlandia
2 : 2
Rio Branco ES
21 Jun
Rio Branco ES
0 : 2
Uberlandia
14 Jun
Rio Branco ES
4 : 0
Porto-BA
06 Jun
Rio Branco ES
1 : 0
Serra
03 Jun
Audax Sao Mateus
0 : 4
Rio Branco ES
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Jaguare 3
Rio Branco ES 5
Vilavelhense 1
SAO Mateus 2
Final
Rio Branco ES 2
SAO Mateus 3